Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 25/10, 09:00

Prediction: Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Team pages: Marumo Gallants Reserves · Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Marumo Gallants Reserves1.17

Stellenbosch FC Reserves1.68

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Marumo Gallants Reserves Draw Stellenbosch FC Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Marumo Gallants Reserves 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWLDWL

Stellenbosch FC Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Marumo Gallants Reserves 1–1–2 Stellenbosch FC Reserves (4 last)

Stellenbosch FC Reserves4-0Marumo Gallants Reserves
Marumo Gallants Reserves0-3Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves0-3Marumo Gallants Reserves
Stellenbosch FC Reserves1-1Marumo Gallants Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1454 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1509

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Draw	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Our model	25%	26%	48%
Market	26%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stellenbosch FC Reserves (rating 1454 vs 1509).
H2H favours Stellenbosch FC Reserves: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	3.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.70

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +14’	3.40	3.70	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1–1–2 Stellenbosch FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	4-0 HT 1-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
01/11/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0-3	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
26/04/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0-3 HT 0-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves
19/11/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	4	4	0	0	12	4	12
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	4	3	0	1	13	6	9
4	Amazulu Reserves	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
5	Siwelele FC Reserves	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
6	TS Galaxy Reserves	4	2	1	1	3	2	7
7	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	3	2	0	1	8	7	6
8	Orlando Pirates Reserves	4	1	1	2	8	7	4
9	Kruger United Reserves	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	Milford FC Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
11	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
12	Marumo Gallants Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
13	Polokwane City Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	7	3
14	Richards Bay FC Reserves	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	16	3
16	Durban City Reserves	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marumo Gallants Reserves	Stellenbosch FC Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0-4 L	2-0 W
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Siwelele FC Reserves	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stellenbosch FC Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
11/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/09	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
25/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
19/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	5	L

Stellenbosch FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
11/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
03/10	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	9	8	L
26/09	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
09/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-2	7	3	W
02/05	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
18/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
11/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
04/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stellenbosch FC Reserves win (49%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants Reserves 26%, draw 25%, Stellenbosch FC Reserves 49%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Marumo Gallants Reserves 1.17 · Stellenbosch FC Reserves 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants Reserves vs Stellenbosch FC Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.