Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Durban City Reserves

Team pages: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves · Durban City Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves2.49

Durban City Reserves0.96

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves Draw Durban City Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWWWWW

Durban City Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 5–1–0 Durban City Reserves (6 last)

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves2-1Durban City Reserves
Durban City Reserves1-1Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves5-0Durban City Reserves
Durban City Reserves1-2Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves3-0Durban City Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves6-0Durban City Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 1576 · Durban City Reserves 1460

	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Draw	Durban City Reserves
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaizer Chiefs Reserves (rating 1576 vs 1460).
H2H favours Kaizer Chiefs Reserves: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Durban City Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +56’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 5–1–0 Durban City Reserves

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	2-1 HT 1-1	Durban City Reserves
01/11/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Durban City Reserves	1-1 HT 1-1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
19/04/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	5-0 HT 2-0	Durban City Reserves
13/11/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Durban City Reserves	1-2 HT 1-1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
30/11/19 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3-0 HT 1-0	Durban City Reserves
24/11/18 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	6-0 HT 2-0	Durban City Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	4	4	0	0	12	4	12
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	4	3	0	1	13	6	9
4	Amazulu Reserves	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
5	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
6	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Marumo Gallants Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
8	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
9	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
10	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Milford FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
11	Polokwane City Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	7	3
13	Richards Bay FC Reserves	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
14	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	16	3
16	Durban City Reserves	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Durban City Reserves
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	4-2 W	2-4 L
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0-2 L	5-1 W
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Durban City Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves

WDWLLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
10/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	4-2	8	4	W
27/09	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	3-2	0	6	W
09/05	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	11-0	7	0	W
03/05	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
26/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
19/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	5-1	6	0	W
11/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
04/04	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	8	5	W

Durban City Reserves

WWWLLDLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
03/10	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	2-4	4	2	L
09/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
25/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-0	–	–	W
11/04	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-1	1	5	W
28/03	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-1	5-1	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Durban City Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaizer Chiefs Reserves win (70%). Probabilities: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 70%, draw 18%, Durban City Reserves 12%.

How many goals are expected in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Durban City Reserves?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 2.49 · Durban City Reserves 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Durban City Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.