Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 17/10, 10:00

Prediction: Sekhukhune United Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves

Team pages: Sekhukhune United Reserves · Chippa United Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Sekhukhune United Reserves2.75

Chippa United Reserves1

1X2

73% 16% 11%

Sekhukhune United Reserves Draw Chippa United Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sekhukhune United Reserves 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Chippa United Reserves 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Sekhukhune United Reserves 3–1 Chippa United Reserves (4 last)

Chippa United Reserves0-4Sekhukhune United Reserves
Sekhukhune United Reserves1-2Chippa United Reserves
Chippa United Reserves1-5Sekhukhune United Reserves
Sekhukhune United Reserves4-2Chippa United Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sekhukhune United Reserves 1548 · Chippa United Reserves 1405

	Sekhukhune United Reserves	Draw	Chippa United Reserves
Our model	73%	16%	11%
Market	73%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sekhukhune United Reserves (rating 1548 vs 1405).
H2H favours Sekhukhune United Reserves: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sekhukhune United Reserves	Chippa United Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	0/43/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	0.8 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.80

2 (+1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +9’	1.22	5.50	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sekhukhune United Reserves 3–0–1 Chippa United Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Chippa United Reserves	0-4	Sekhukhune United Reserves
18/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-2 HT 0-2	Chippa United Reserves
05/10/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Chippa United Reserves	1-5 HT 1-2	Sekhukhune United Reserves
29/10/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Sekhukhune United Reserves	4-2 HT 3-1	Chippa United Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3	3	0	0	8	4	9
2	Amazulu Reserves	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
3	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
4	Golden Arrows Reserves	3	2	0	1	12	6	6
5	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
6	Sekhukhune United Reserves	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
8	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
9	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	Milford FC Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Richards Bay FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
12	Chippa United Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	12	3
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Polokwane City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
15	Durban City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sekhukhune United Reserves	Chippa United Reserves
Siwelele FC Reserves	1-0 W	0-2 L
Richards Bay FC Reserves	0-4 L	1-2 L
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
Amazulu Reserves	3-1 W	1-2 L
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-2 D	2-9 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sekhukhune United Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sekhukhune United Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
04/10	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
26/09	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
09/05	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
02/05	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
25/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
18/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
12/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
28/03	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/03	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-2	8	5	D

Chippa United Reserves

LLDLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-9	–	–	L
03/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	2	3	L
26/09	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/05	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	0-11	1	0	L
02/05	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
26/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
18/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-2	2-3	0	3	L
12/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/03	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
22/03	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sekhukhune United Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sekhukhune United Reserves win (73%). Probabilities: Sekhukhune United Reserves 73%, draw 16%, Chippa United Reserves 11%.

How many goals are expected in Sekhukhune United Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Sekhukhune United Reserves 2.75 · Chippa United Reserves 1), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sekhukhune United Reserves vs Chippa United Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.