Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 17/10, 10:00

Prediction: Polokwane City Reserves vs Amazulu Reserves

Team pages: Polokwane City Reserves · Amazulu Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Polokwane City Reserves1.2

Amazulu Reserves1.45

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Polokwane City Reserves Draw Amazulu Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Polokwane City Reserves 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Amazulu Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Polokwane City Reserves 2–2–2 Amazulu Reserves (6 last)

Polokwane City Reserves0-2Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves4-1Polokwane City Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves2-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-1Polokwane City Reserves
Amazulu Reserves3-3Polokwane City Reserves
Polokwane City Reserves1-0Amazulu Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polokwane City Reserves 1383 · Amazulu Reserves 1511

	Polokwane City Reserves	Draw	Amazulu Reserves
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazulu Reserves (rating 1383 vs 1511).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polokwane City Reserves	Amazulu Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.4	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.3	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/25/75%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	0.6 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:25 +12’	2.88	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City Reserves 2–2–2 Amazulu Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	0-2 HT 0-1	Amazulu Reserves
21/09/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	4-1 HT 2-0	Polokwane City Reserves
23/02/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	2-1 HT 0-0	Amazulu Reserves
14/09/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	Polokwane City Reserves
27/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	3-3 HT 2-2	Polokwane City Reserves
20/01/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Polokwane City Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Amazulu Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3	3	0	0	8	4	9
2	Amazulu Reserves	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
3	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
4	Golden Arrows Reserves	3	2	0	1	12	6	6
5	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
6	Sekhukhune United Reserves	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
8	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
9	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	Milford FC Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Richards Bay FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
12	Chippa United Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	12	3
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Polokwane City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
15	Durban City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polokwane City Reserves	Amazulu Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-3 L	2-0 W
TS Galaxy Reserves	0-1 L	0-0 D
Richards Bay FC Reserves	0-3 L	2-0 W
Chippa United Reserves	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Amazulu Reserves (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polokwane City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/10	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-3	1	5	L
27/09	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
25/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
21/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
19/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	1-5	5	0	L
12/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/03	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	5	3	L

Amazulu Reserves

LLLLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-0	1	1	W
26/09	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
09/05	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
02/05	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
26/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
12/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
04/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polokwane City Reserves vs Amazulu Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Amazulu Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: Polokwane City Reserves 31%, draw 27%, Amazulu Reserves 42%.

How many goals are expected in Polokwane City Reserves vs Amazulu Reserves?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Polokwane City Reserves 1.2 · Amazulu Reserves 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Polokwane City Reserves vs Amazulu Reserves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.