Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 17/10, 12:30

Prediction: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves

Team pages: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves · Marumo Gallants Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves2.66

Marumo Gallants Reserves1.08

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves Draw Marumo Gallants Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLWWWW

Marumo Gallants Reserves 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 4–1–1 Marumo Gallants Reserves (6 last)

Marumo Gallants Reserves2-1Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves2-2Marumo Gallants Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves3-0Marumo Gallants Reserves
Marumo Gallants Reserves0-1Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves3-0Marumo Gallants Reserves
Marumo Gallants Reserves0-1Kaizer Chiefs Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 1563 · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1485

	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Draw	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Our model	70%	17%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaizer Chiefs Reserves (rating 1563 vs 1485).
H2H favours Kaizer Chiefs Reserves: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	1.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +7’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 4–1–1 Marumo Gallants Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	2-1 HT 0-0	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
19/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	2-2 HT 0-1	Marumo Gallants Reserves
08/03/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3-0 HT 1-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
18/01/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves
08/04/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants Reserves
01/10/22 South Africa Diski Challenge	Marumo Gallants Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3	3	0	0	8	4	9
2	Amazulu Reserves	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
3	Sekhukhune United Reserves	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
5	Golden Arrows Reserves	3	2	0	1	12	6	6
6	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Marumo Gallants Reserves	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
8	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
9	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
10	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Richards Bay FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
12	Milford FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
13	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
14	Chippa United Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	12	3
15	Polokwane City Reserves	3	0	0	3	3	6	0
16	Durban City Reserves	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	Marumo Gallants Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves	1-0 W	2-2 D
Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	4-2 W	0-2 L
Stellenbosch FC Reserves	0-2 L	0-4 L
Siwelele FC Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaizer Chiefs Reserves

WWDWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	4-2	8	4	W
27/09	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	3-2	0	6	W
09/05	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	11-0	7	0	W
03/05	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
26/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
19/04	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	3-0	5-1	6	0	W
11/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
04/04	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/03	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	1	4	W

Marumo Gallants Reserves

LLDDLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/10	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/09	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
25/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
19/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-1	–	–	D
28/03	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
21/03	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-2	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaizer Chiefs Reserves win (70%). Probabilities: Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 70%, draw 18%, Marumo Gallants Reserves 12%.

How many goals are expected in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Kaizer Chiefs Reserves 2.66 · Marumo Gallants Reserves 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs Reserves vs Marumo Gallants Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.