Football · Thailand Division 3 · 10/10, 12:00

Prediction: Burapha United vs Customs United

Team pages: Burapha United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Burapha United2.02
Customs United1.22
1X2
55% 23% 22%
Burapha United Draw Customs United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Burapha United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWLDWW
Customs United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWDLDW
Head-to-head
Burapha United 1–0 Customs United (1 last)
  • Customs United0-4Burapha United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burapha United 1627 · Customs United 1467
Burapha UnitedDrawCustoms United
Our model55%23%22%
Market55%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burapha United (rating 1627 vs 1467).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burapha UnitedCustoms United
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.71.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.41 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.14.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burapha United 1–0–0 Customs United

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Customs United0-4
HT 0-2
Burapha United

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurapha UnitedCustoms United
Fleet FC 2-2 D 0-1 L
Pluak Daeng United 3-1 W 3-3 D
Chachoengsao FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Bankhai United 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Burapha United (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burapha United

LWWWWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 4-0 42 W
16/05 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 25 W
10/05 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-2 00 D
02/05 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 45 L
28/04 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 77 W
19/04 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 44 W
15/03 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 3-1 54 W
07/03 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 16 W
22/02 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 108 W
15/02 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 78 L

Customs United

DWWLLWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/03 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-2 52 W
28/02 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 3-3 45 D
21/02 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 13 L
15/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
01/02 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 105 W
24/01 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 51 L
17/01 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 15 L
11/01 BFB Pattaya City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 36 W
22/11 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
3-0 4-3 28 W
16/11 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 17 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burapha United vs Customs United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burapha United win (55%). Probabilities: Burapha United 55%, draw 23%, Customs United 22%.

How many goals are expected in Burapha United vs Customs United?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Burapha United 2.02 · Customs United 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Burapha United vs Customs United?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.