Football · Thailand Division 3 · 10/10, 12:00

Prediction: Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Roi-Et PB United

Team pages: Khonkaen Mordindang FC · Roi-Et PB United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Khonkaen Mordindang FC1.08

Roi-Et PB United1.83

1X2

22% 24% 55%

Khonkaen Mordindang FC Draw Roi-Et PB United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLLLD

Roi-Et PB United 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Khonkaen Mordindang FC 0–4 Roi-Et PB United (4 last)

Roi-Et PB United3-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC0-1Roi-Et PB United
Roi-Et PB United2-1Khonkaen Mordindang FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC2-4Roi-Et PB United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1431 · Roi-Et PB United 1527

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Draw	Roi-Et PB United
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roi-Et PB United (rating 1431 vs 1527).
H2H favours Roi-Et PB United: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Roi-Et PB United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.3	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:58 +19’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Khonkaen Mordindang FC 0–0–4 Roi-Et PB United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Thailand League Cup	Roi-Et PB United	3-1 HT 2-1	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
07/03/26 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Roi-Et PB United
16/11/25 Thailand Division 3	Roi-Et PB United	2-1 HT 1-0	Khonkaen Mordindang FC
09/11/24 Thailand Division 3	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	2-4 HT 0-2	Roi-Et PB United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Khonkaen Mordindang FC	Roi-Et PB United
EUMT FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Yasothon FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Udon United	0-2 L	0-0 D
Muang Loei United	2-3 L	2-3 L
Surin Khongcheemoon FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Korat City FC	1-2 L	6-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Roi-Et PB United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khonkaen Mordindang FC

LLLWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
26/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
07/03	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/02	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
11/02	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-3	0	2	L
24/01	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/01	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
23/11	Ubon Krua Napat FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
16/11	Roi-Et PB United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	3	6	L

Roi-Et PB United

DWWDLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
27/09	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
20/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/03	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
07/03	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
11/02	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/11	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
16/11	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
08/11	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	6-1	9	3	W
02/11	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Roi-Et PB United win (55%). Probabilities: Khonkaen Mordindang FC 22%, draw 24%, Roi-Et PB United 55%.

How many goals are expected in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Khonkaen Mordindang FC 1.08 · Roi-Et PB United 1.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Khonkaen Mordindang FC vs Roi-Et PB United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.