Prediction: Suphanburi FC vs Samut Songkhram City
Team pages: Suphanburi FC · Samut Songkhram City
- Suphanburi FC2-1Samut Songkhram City
- Samut Songkhram City2-0Suphanburi FC
| Suphanburi FC | Draw | Samut Songkhram City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suphanburi FC (rating 1561 vs 1420).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suphanburi FC | Samut Songkhram City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suphanburi FC 1–0–1 Samut Songkhram City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Thailand Division 3 | Suphanburi FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Samut Songkhram City |
| 05/10/25 Thailand Division 3 | Samut Songkhram City | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Suphanburi FC |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suphanburi FC | Samut Songkhram City |
|---|---|---|
| VRN Muangnont FC | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Raj Pracha | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Hua Hin City | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Nonthaburi United | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Thonburi United FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Samut Sakhon | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Suphanburi FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suphanburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 07/03 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 28/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/02 | Assumption United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/02 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/01 | Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/01 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/01 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/11 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Samut Songkhram City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/02 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/01 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/01 | Suphanburi FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/01 | Thap Luang United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suphanburi FC vs Samut Songkhram City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suphanburi FC win (43%). Probabilities: Suphanburi FC 43%, draw 27%, Samut Songkhram City 30%.
How many goals are expected in Suphanburi FC vs Samut Songkhram City?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Suphanburi FC 1.51 · Samut Songkhram City 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Suphanburi FC vs Samut Songkhram City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.