Football · Thailand Division 3 · 10/10, 10:30

Prediction: Lopburi City FC vs Pathum Thani University

Team pages: Lopburi City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Lopburi City FC0.99

Pathum Thani University1.73

1X2

22% 24% 55%

Lopburi City FC Draw Pathum Thani University

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Lopburi City FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLDDL

Pathum Thani University 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDDDDD

Head-to-head

Lopburi City FC 2–2–2 Pathum Thani University (6 last)

Lopburi City FC1-1Pathum Thani University
Pathum Thani University3-1Lopburi City FC
Lopburi City FC4-1Pathum Thani University
Pathum Thani University0-2Lopburi City FC
Pathum Thani University1-0Lopburi City FC
Lopburi City FC1-1Pathum Thani University

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lopburi City FC 1390 · Pathum Thani University 1499

	Lopburi City FC	Draw	Pathum Thani University
Our model	21%	26%	53%
Market	22%	22%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pathum Thani University (rating 1390 vs 1499).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lopburi City FC	Pathum Thani University
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.1	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:50 +16’	4.00	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lopburi City FC 2–2–2 Pathum Thani University

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Thailand Division 3	Lopburi City FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Pathum Thani University
22/11/25 Thailand Division 3	Pathum Thani University	3-1 HT 1-0	Lopburi City FC
15/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Lopburi City FC	4-1 HT 3-0	Pathum Thani University
17/11/24 Thailand Division 3	Pathum Thani University	0-2 HT 0-0	Lopburi City FC
13/01/24 Thailand Division 3	Pathum Thani University	1-0 HT 0-0	Lopburi City FC
14/10/23 Thailand Division 3	Lopburi City FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Pathum Thani University

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lopburi City FC	Pathum Thani University
Prime Bangkok	0-2 L	0-6 L
Saraburi United	2-2 D	4-2 W
Ang Thong FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Singburi Warriors	3-3 D	1-1 D
Royal Thai Air Force FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
North Bangkok University	0-1 L	0-0 D
Chamchuri Utd	1-0 W	2-0 W
Kasem Bundit University	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pathum Thani University (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lopburi City FC

LWLLDLLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	0	10	L
21/03	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
14/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
01/03	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
22/02	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-6	3	9	L
15/02	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	1-2	3-3	6	8	D
31/01	Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
24/01	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
18/01	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/01	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	1-2	1-4	7	5	L

Pathum Thani University

LWWLWDDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
21/03	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	3	9	D
14/03	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
08/03	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
01/03	Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
21/02	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/02	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
31/01	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	2-2	4-2	4	2	W
25/01	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
17/01	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-3	0-6	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lopburi City FC vs Pathum Thani University?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pathum Thani University win (55%). Probabilities: Lopburi City FC 22%, draw 24%, Pathum Thani University 55%.

How many goals are expected in Lopburi City FC vs Pathum Thani University?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Lopburi City FC 0.99 · Pathum Thani University 1.73), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lopburi City FC vs Pathum Thani University?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.