Football · Thailand Division 3 · 10/10, 10:30

Prediction: Chamchuri Utd vs Prime Bangkok

Team pages: Chamchuri Utd · Prime Bangkok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Chamchuri Utd1.23

Prime Bangkok1.97

1X2

23% 23% 54%

Chamchuri Utd Draw Prime Bangkok

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Chamchuri Utd 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Prime Bangkok 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chamchuri Utd 1–5 Prime Bangkok (6 last)

Chamchuri Utd1-2Prime Bangkok
Prime Bangkok2-1Chamchuri Utd
Prime Bangkok1-2Chamchuri Utd
Prime Bangkok5-1Chamchuri Utd
Chamchuri Utd0-3Prime Bangkok
Prime Bangkok2-1Chamchuri Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chamchuri Utd 1484 · Prime Bangkok 1537

	Chamchuri Utd	Draw	Prime Bangkok
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prime Bangkok (rating 1484 vs 1537).
H2H favours Prime Bangkok: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chamchuri Utd	Prime Bangkok
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.10

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	1.73 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:58 +7’	3.50	4.00	1.73
10:15 +5’	3.80▲	4.10▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chamchuri Utd 1–0–5 Prime Bangkok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Chamchuri Utd	1-2 HT 0-1	Prime Bangkok
12/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Prime Bangkok	2-1 HT 0-1	Chamchuri Utd
01/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Prime Bangkok	1-2 HT 0-1	Chamchuri Utd
30/11/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Prime Bangkok	5-1 HT 1-1	Chamchuri Utd
02/11/24 Thailand Division 3	Chamchuri Utd	0-3 HT 0-1	Prime Bangkok
11/02/24 Thailand Division 3	Prime Bangkok	2-1 HT 2-1	Chamchuri Utd

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chamchuri Utd	Prime Bangkok
Kasem Bundit University	2-0 W	0-2 L
Saraburi United	7-0 W	6-2 W
Singburi Warriors	2-0 W	1-2 L
North Bangkok University	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chamchuri Utd (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chamchuri Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-3	9	0	L
21/03	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-0	7	5	W
15/03	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	2-0	7-0	1	3	W
08/03	Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
28/02	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
21/02	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
15/02	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
10/02	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
01/02	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
25/01	Futera United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	6	5	L

Prime Bangkok

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	7	10	W
19/09	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
16/05	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
03/05	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	5-1	5	3	W
28/04	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
25/04	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
19/04	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
15/03	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
07/03	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
28/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	3-0	6-2	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chamchuri Utd vs Prime Bangkok?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Prime Bangkok win (54%). Probabilities: Chamchuri Utd 23%, draw 23%, Prime Bangkok 54%.

How many goals are expected in Chamchuri Utd vs Prime Bangkok?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Chamchuri Utd 1.23 · Prime Bangkok 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chamchuri Utd vs Prime Bangkok?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.