Football · Thailand Division 3 · 10/10, 10:30

Prediction: Assumption United vs Royal Thai Army

Team pages: Assumption United · Royal Thai Army

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Assumption United1.27
Royal Thai Army1.01
1X2
42% 29% 29%
Assumption United Draw Royal Thai Army
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Assumption United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLDLWLLLW
Royal Thai Army 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDWLLDDW
Head-to-head
Assumption United 2–1–0 Royal Thai Army (3 last)
  • Assumption United0-0Royal Thai Army
  • Royal Thai Army0-2Assumption United
  • Royal Thai Army1-2Assumption United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Assumption United 1493 · Royal Thai Army 1495
Assumption UnitedDrawRoyal Thai Army
Our model41%31%28%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Assumption United: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Assumption UnitedRoyal Thai Army
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.62.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.32.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Assumption United 2–1–0 Royal Thai Army

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United0-0
HT 0-0
Royal Thai Army
19/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Royal Thai Army0-2
HT 0-0
Assumption United
02/11/24
Thailand Division 3
Royal Thai Army1-2
HT 0-1
Assumption United

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAssumption UnitedRoyal Thai Army
Thonburi United FC 2-3 L 1-2 L
VRN Muangnont FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Raj Pracha 2-0 W 1-0 W
Hua Hin City 1-1 D 3-2 W
Nonthaburi United 4-2 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Assumption United

WDLDLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-1 54 W
20/09 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-3 35 L
14/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
08/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
22/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
14/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 53 L
11/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
01/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-3 27 L
25/01 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
10/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
4-0 4-2 25 W

Royal Thai Army

WDDDWLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 62 W
19/09 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 32 D
22/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 –– D
14/03 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 42 L
28/02 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 1-2 66 L
15/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-0 44 W
11/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
31/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 2-2 10 D
24/01 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 63 D
18/01 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 3-2 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Assumption United vs Royal Thai Army?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Assumption United win (42%). Probabilities: Assumption United 42%, draw 29%, Royal Thai Army 29%.

How many goals are expected in Assumption United vs Royal Thai Army?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Assumption United 1.27 · Royal Thai Army 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Assumption United vs Royal Thai Army?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.