Football · Uruguay Segunda · 27/10, 00:30

Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Colon FC

Team pages: Paysandu FC · Colon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Paysandu FC1.11

Colon FC1.28

1X2

32% 29% 39%

Paysandu FC Draw Colon FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Paysandu FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDDLWW

Colon FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Paysandu FC 1–1 Colon FC (2 last)

Colon FC2-3Paysandu FC
Paysandu FC0-2Colon FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu FC 1515 · Colon FC 1509

	Paysandu FC	Draw	Colon FC
Our model	31%	30%	39%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paysandu FC	Colon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	3.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.8	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.87
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.47 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +7’	2.50	3.20	2.50
10:07 +15’	2.80▲	3.20	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:16 +4’	2.84	2.90	2.42
09:24 +58’	2.89▲	2.95▲	2.46▲
02:02 +28’	2.87▼	2.95	2.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 1–0–1 Colon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Paysandu FC
13/03/26 Uruguay Segunda	Paysandu FC	0-2	Colon FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paysandu FC	Colon FC
Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1-0 W	1-1 D
Rentistas	2-1 W	0-1 L
Miramar Misiones	0-1 L	1-0 W
Tacuarembo	2-2 D	1-0 W
Plaza Colonia	1-1 D	1-1 D
La Luz	0-1 L	2-1 W
CA River Plate	0-0 D	0-3 L
Huracan DPA	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu FC

LDWWLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/10	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-1	2-1	5	12	W
03/10	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
29/09	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	8	D
19/09	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	2-1	2-1	0	6	W
30/08	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
22/08	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-2	2-3	5	7	L

Colon FC

WDWWLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-0	6	8	W
10/10	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-1	3-1	2	7	W
04/10	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-3	9	8	L
19/09	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
13/09	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
06/09	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
29/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
22/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
17/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Colon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Colon FC win (39%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 32%, draw 29%, Colon FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Colon FC?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Paysandu FC 1.11 · Colon FC 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Colon FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.