Football · Uruguay Segunda · 25/10, 20:00

Prediction: Cerrito vs Rentistas

Team pages: Cerrito · Rentistas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Cerrito1.07
Rentistas1.07
1X2
35% 30% 35%
Cerrito Draw Rentistas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerrito 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLDDLWWL
Rentistas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLWWLW
Head-to-head
Cerrito 3–1–2 Rentistas (6 last)
  • Rentistas0-0Cerrito
  • Rentistas0-1Cerrito
  • Cerrito1-2Rentistas
  • Cerrito1-0Rentistas
  • Cerrito0-2Rentistas
  • Rentistas0-1Cerrito
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerrito 1517 · Rentistas 1515
CerritoDrawRentistas
Our model34%32%34%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cerrito: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CerritoRentistas
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/33/56%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 42.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 0.75.8 / 1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 3–1–2 Rentistas

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas0-0
HT 0-0
Cerrito
21/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas0-1
HT 0-1
Cerrito
31/05/25
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-2
HT 1-0
Rentistas
27/04/25
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-0
HT 1-0
Rentistas
18/08/24
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito0-2
HT 0-0
Rentistas
18/05/24
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas0-1
HT 0-0
Cerrito

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCerritoRentistas
Miramar Misiones 0-1 L 1-1 D
Tacuarembo 2-1 W 0-1 L
CA River Plate 1-1 D 0-0 D
CA Atenas 0-0 D 3-0 W
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Huracan DPA 1-2 L 2-1 W
Uruguay Montevideo 3-0 W 3-1 W
Club Oriental 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerrito

DWLLDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 68 L
10/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 46 W
04/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 19 W
27/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 39 L
20/09 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 64 D
13/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 17 D
05/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-2 46 L
29/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 312 L
22/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
– 3-0 –– W
14/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 81 D

Rentistas

LDDWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-0 05 W
11/10 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 612 L
03/10 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 47 W
26/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 99 W
20/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
06/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-1 38 W
30/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 56 D
21/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 104 D
16/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 125 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs Rentistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (35%). Probabilities: Cerrito 35%, draw 30%, Rentistas 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Rentistas?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Cerrito 1.07 · Rentistas 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerrito vs Rentistas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.