Football · Uruguay Segunda · 25/10, 23:00

Prediction: La Luz vs Miramar Misiones

Team pages: La Luz · Miramar Misiones

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
La Luz1.25
Miramar Misiones0.83
1X2
46% 29% 25%
La Luz Draw Miramar Misiones
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
La Luz 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWWDW
Miramar Misiones 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDDLWWLWDW
Head-to-head
La Luz 2–2–0 Miramar Misiones (4 last)
  • Miramar Misiones0-1La Luz
  • Miramar Misiones1-1La Luz
  • La Luz3-1Miramar Misiones
  • La Luz0-0Miramar Misiones
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Luz 1514 · Miramar Misiones 1508
La LuzDrawMiramar Misiones
Our model45%32%23%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours La Luz: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La LuzMiramar Misiones
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/63/25%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.61.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.15.7 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 2–2–0 Miramar Misiones

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/07/26
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones0-1
HT 0-1
La Luz
30/07/22
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1
HT 0-1
La Luz
08/05/22
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz3-1
HT 3-0
Miramar Misiones
18/11/21
Uruguay Segunda B Nacional
La Luz0-0
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa LuzMiramar Misiones
CA River Plate 3-2 W 0-3 L
Cerrito 2-1 W 1-0 W
CA Atenas 0-1 L 1-1 D
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Huracan DPA 1-3 L 1-2 L
Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 D 1-0 W
Club Oriental 0-2 L 3-1 W
Colon FC 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Miramar Misiones (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Luz

LLDLWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 55 W
11/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 28 D
05/10 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 3-2 87 W
27/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 19 W
20/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 114 L
12/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
– 1-0 –– W
04/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 98 L
29/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 87 D
23/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 96 L
17/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
– 1-2 –– L

Miramar Misiones

LDDLWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 28 W
11/10 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 34 D
03/10 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 56 W
28/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 64 L
19/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 710 W
12/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 18 W
06/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 26 L
30/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 34 D
15/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Miramar Misiones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (46%). Probabilities: La Luz 46%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 25%.

How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Miramar Misiones?

The model expects 2.07 goals (La Luz 1.25 · Miramar Misiones 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in La Luz vs Miramar Misiones?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.