Football · Romania Liga 2 · 20/10, 16:30
Prediction: ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste
Team pages: ASA Targu Mures · Chindia Targoviste
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
ASA Targu Mures1.54
Chindia Targoviste1.34
1X2
ASA Targu Mures
Draw
Chindia Targoviste
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASA Targu Mures
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Chindia Targoviste
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASA Targu Mures
0–1–2
Chindia Targoviste
(3 last)
- ASA Targu Mures0-2Chindia Targoviste
- Chindia Targoviste3-0ASA Targu Mures
- ASA Targu Mures0-0Chindia Targoviste
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASA Targu Mures 1494 · Chindia Targoviste 1557
| ASA Targu Mures | Draw | Chindia Targoviste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chindia Targoviste (rating 1494 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Chindia Targoviste: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASA Targu Mures | Chindia Targoviste | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 3.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Targu Mures 0–1–2 Chindia Targoviste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Romania Liga 2 | ASA Targu Mures | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chindia Targoviste |
| 31/03/18 Romania Liga 2 | Chindia Targoviste | 3-0 | ASA Targu Mures |
| 18/09/17 Romania Liga 2 | ASA Targu Mures | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chindia Targoviste |
Standings · Romania Liga 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Slatina | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Scolar Resita | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Bacau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | CS Concordia Chiajna | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 18 |
| 8 | Cetate Suceava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | AFC Metalul Buzau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | CS Afumati | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Bihor Oradea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
| 12 | Gloria Bistrita | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | CSC 1599 Selimbar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 6 |
| 21 | CS Stefanesti | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 6 |
| 22 | CSC Dumbravita | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASA Targu Mures | Chindia Targoviste |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Metalul Buzau | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| CS Dinamo Bucuresti | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| CS Afumati | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Stiinta Poli Timisoara | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chindia Targoviste (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASA Targu Mures
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 22/09 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | CS Afumati Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Chindia Targoviste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | CS Afumati Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | ACS Sepsi Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA Targu Mures win (41%). Probabilities: ASA Targu Mures 41%, draw 28%, Chindia Targoviste 32%.
How many goals are expected in ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
The model expects 2.88 goals (ASA Targu Mures 1.54 · Chindia Targoviste 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.