Football · Romania Liga 2 · 26/10, 16:00

Prediction: Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Team pages: Metaloglobus Bucuresti · CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Metaloglobus Bucuresti1.43

CSM Ramnicu Valcea1.24

1X2

41% 28% 32%

Metaloglobus Bucuresti Draw CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Metaloglobus Bucuresti 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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CSM Ramnicu Valcea 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1475 · CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1480

	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	Draw	CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.21
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.41
2	3.25 → 2.80▼	Pinn 2.90 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +5’	2.00	3.30	3.25
20:04 +1’	2.05▲	3.30	3.10▼
20:52 +11’	1.95▼	3.30	3.30▲
23:59 +4’	1.91▼	3.30	3.50▲
08:56 +5’	2.05▲	3.25▼	3.10▼
09:58 +4’	2.20▲	3.30▲	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +7’	1.97	3.28	3.40
08:56 +6’	2.06▲	3.39▲	3.08▼
09:53 +9’	2.23▲	3.33▼	2.81▼
10:38 +23’	2.18▼	3.34▲	2.89▲
14:00 +1’	2.19▲	3.33▼	2.86▼
14:56 +7’	2.21▲	3.41▲	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	10	3	3	4	11	15	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	CSM Ramnicu Valcea
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	0-0 D	2-1 W
Gloria Popesti Leordeni	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Ramnicu Valcea (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metaloglobus Bucuresti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
10/10	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
19/09	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
12/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-2	2-3	5	4	L
29/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	1	9	L
25/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
15/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
01/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
10/10	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
20/09	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	1-2	3-2	2	3	W
12/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	3	9	L
05/09	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
22/08	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-2	4	11	D
15/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
01/08	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	6	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metaloglobus Bucuresti win (41%). Probabilities: Metaloglobus Bucuresti 41%, draw 28%, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 32%.

How many goals are expected in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1.43 · CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.