Football · Romania Liga 2 · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Cetate Suceava vs CSM Slatina

Team pages: Cetate Suceava · CSM Slatina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Cetate Suceava1.29

CSM Slatina1.32

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Cetate Suceava Draw CSM Slatina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cetate Suceava 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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CSM Slatina 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cetate Suceava 1536 · CSM Slatina 1553

	Cetate Suceava	Draw	CSM Slatina
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cetate Suceava	CSM Slatina
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.15 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:54 +19’	2.88	3.30	2.15
14:16 +4’	2.50▼	3.30	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +1’	2.48	3.19	2.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	10	8	1	1	19	8	25
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	10	7	3	0	20	8	24
3	Chindia Targoviste	10	7	0	3	24	12	21
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	10	6	3	1	24	14	21
5	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
6	FC Bacau	10	5	3	2	22	9	18
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	10	6	0	4	24	16	18
8	Cetate Suceava	10	5	3	2	20	12	18
9	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	10	5	3	2	10	7	18
11	CS Afumati	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
12	Gloria Bistrita	10	5	0	5	13	13	15
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	10	3	3	4	11	15	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	3	2	5	14	20	11
16	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	10	2	1	7	12	13	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
18	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	10	2	1	7	15	30	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	0	6	4	5	12	6
20	CSC 1599 Selimbar	10	1	3	6	7	20	6
21	CS Stefanesti	10	2	0	8	7	23	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	10	0	3	7	6	21	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cetate Suceava	CSM Slatina
Scolar Resita	2-0 W	1-3 L
CSC Dumbravita	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Bacau	2-2 D	0-0 D
CSM Ramnicu Valcea	4-0 W	1-0 W
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cetate Suceava (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cetate Suceava

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-0	8	11	W
10/10	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	3-1	5	3	W
19/09	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-2	8	4	D
12/09	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	4	9	W
05/09	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-2	2	10	D
29/08	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
22/08	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
15/08	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
08/08	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
01/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	3	4	L

CSM Slatina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/10	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
19/09	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
12/09	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
04/09	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-2	7	4	W
31/08	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
22/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
15/08	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
08/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
02/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cetate Suceava vs CSM Slatina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Slatina win (37%). Probabilities: Cetate Suceava 35%, draw 28%, CSM Slatina 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cetate Suceava vs CSM Slatina?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Cetate Suceava 1.29 · CSM Slatina 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cetate Suceava vs CSM Slatina?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.