Football · Romania Liga 2 · 25/10, 10:00

Prediction: CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Team pages: CS Afumati · CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

CS Afumati1.59

CSA Steaua Bucuresti1.19

1X2

46% 27% 28%

CS Afumati Draw CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Afumati 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWDWWL

CSA Steaua Bucuresti 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLWDD

Head-to-head

CS Afumati 0–5 CSA Steaua Bucuresti (5 last)

CS Afumati0-1CSA Steaua Bucuresti
CS Afumati0-4CSA Steaua Bucuresti
CSA Steaua Bucuresti4-0CS Afumati
CS Afumati1-2CSA Steaua Bucuresti
CSA Steaua Bucuresti2-0CS Afumati

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Afumati 1491 · CSA Steaua Bucuresti 1476

	CS Afumati	Draw	CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CSA Steaua Bucuresti: 5-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Afumati	CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.2	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.40

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +14’	1.95	3.40	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Afumati 0–0–5 CSA Steaua Bucuresti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	0-1 HT 0-1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti
14/12/24 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	0-4 HT 0-2	CSA Steaua Bucuresti
17/07/21 Europe Friendlies	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	4-0 HT 1-0	CS Afumati
30/05/21 Romania Liga III	CS Afumati	1-2 HT 1-1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti
22/05/21 Romania Liga III	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	2-0 HT 2-0	CS Afumati

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	10	8	1	1	19	8	25
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	10	7	3	0	20	8	24
3	Chindia Targoviste	10	7	0	3	24	12	21
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	10	6	3	1	24	14	21
5	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
6	FC Bacau	10	5	3	2	22	9	18
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	10	6	0	4	24	16	18
8	Cetate Suceava	10	5	3	2	20	12	18
9	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	10	5	3	2	10	7	18
11	CS Afumati	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
12	Gloria Bistrita	10	5	0	5	13	13	15
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	10	3	3	4	11	15	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	3	2	5	14	20	11
16	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	10	2	1	7	12	13	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
18	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	10	2	1	7	15	30	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	0	6	4	5	12	6
20	CSC 1599 Selimbar	10	1	3	6	7	20	6
21	CS Stefanesti	10	2	0	8	7	23	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	10	0	3	7	6	21	3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Afumati

WLLDWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
11/10	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
19/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	10	6	W
29/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
08/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
01/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	9	5	W

CSA Steaua Bucuresti

LLLDLDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
08/10	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
19/09	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
12/09	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
05/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-2	4	10	D
29/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
23/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	10	4	D
16/08	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
08/08	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
02/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Afumati win (46%). Probabilities: CS Afumati 46%, draw 27%, CSA Steaua Bucuresti 28%.

How many goals are expected in CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?

The model expects 2.77 goals (CS Afumati 1.59 · CSA Steaua Bucuresti 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.