Football · Romania Liga 2 · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Stiinta Poli Timisoara vs FC Bacau

Team pages: Stiinta Poli Timisoara · FC Bacau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Stiinta Poli Timisoara1.73

FC Bacau0.91

1X2

56% 25% 19%

Stiinta Poli Timisoara Draw FC Bacau

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stiinta Poli Timisoara 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWDW

FC Bacau 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWDLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stiinta Poli Timisoara 1575 · FC Bacau 1542

	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	Draw	FC Bacau
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	FC Bacau
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.8	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.62
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.74 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +7’	1.61	3.60	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +17’	1.68	3.63	4.30
14:45 +68’	1.62▼	3.74▲	4.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	10	8	1	1	19	8	25
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	10	7	3	0	20	8	24
3	Chindia Targoviste	10	7	0	3	24	12	21
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	10	6	3	1	24	14	21
5	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
6	FC Bacau	10	5	3	2	22	9	18
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	10	6	0	4	24	16	18
8	Cetate Suceava	10	5	3	2	20	12	18
9	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	10	5	3	2	10	7	18
11	CS Afumati	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
12	Gloria Bistrita	10	5	0	5	13	13	15
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	10	3	3	4	11	15	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	10	15	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	3	2	5	14	20	11
16	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	10	2	1	7	12	13	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
18	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	10	2	1	7	15	30	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	0	6	4	5	12	6
20	CSC 1599 Selimbar	10	1	3	6	7	20	6
21	CS Stefanesti	10	2	0	8	7	23	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	10	0	3	7	6	21	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	FC Bacau
CSM Ramnicu Valcea	1-0 W	2-2 D
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	1-1 D	3-0 W
Gloria Popesti Leordeni	4-3 W	2-3 L
CS Stefanesti	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stiinta Poli Timisoara

WDWWWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/10	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
19/09	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	3-2	4-3	3	8	W
12/09	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	14	4	W
06/09	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
30/08	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
22/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	3-0	5-1	3	3	W
15/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
08/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
04/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	11	9	W

FC Bacau

WLWDDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
11/10	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
19/09	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
15/09	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/09	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	6-1	7	2	W
31/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/08	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	1-2	2-2	3	11	D
16/08	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
08/08	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
01/08	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stiinta Poli Timisoara vs FC Bacau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stiinta Poli Timisoara win (56%). Probabilities: Stiinta Poli Timisoara 56%, draw 25%, FC Bacau 19%.

How many goals are expected in Stiinta Poli Timisoara vs FC Bacau?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Stiinta Poli Timisoara 1.73 · FC Bacau 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stiinta Poli Timisoara vs FC Bacau?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.