Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 08/10, 02:30
Prediction: Guabira vs The Strongest
Team pages: Guabira · The Strongest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Guabira2.23
The Strongest1.19
1X2
Guabira
Draw
The Strongest
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Guabira
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
The Strongest
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guabira
3–3
The Strongest
(6 last)
- The Strongest2-1Guabira
- Guabira3-1The Strongest
- Guabira3-2The Strongest
- The Strongest2-1Guabira
- Guabira2-1The Strongest
- The Strongest5-1Guabira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guabira 1486 · The Strongest 1565
| Guabira | Draw | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1486 vs 1565).
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guabira | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 3–0–3 The Strongest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 15/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 3-1 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
| 26/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 3-2 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
| 19/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 21/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 2-1 HT 2-0 | The Strongest |
| 03/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Guabira |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | Guabira | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guabira | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Universitario De Vinto | 1-3 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/11 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/10 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guabira vs The Strongest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (60%). Probabilities: Guabira 60%, draw 21%, The Strongest 19%.
How many goals are expected in Guabira vs The Strongest?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Guabira 2.23 · The Strongest 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Guabira vs The Strongest?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.