Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 07/10, 02:00
Prediction: Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Team pages: Club Aurora · Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
Club Aurora2.54
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.16
1X2
Club Aurora
Draw
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Aurora
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Aurora
5–1
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
(6 last)
- Academia de Balompie Boliviano0-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
- Club Aurora3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
- Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2Club Aurora
- Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora2-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1536 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1432
| Club Aurora | Draw | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1536 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Club Aurora: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Aurora | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 5–0–1 Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 25/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
| 16/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
| 25/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 19/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Club Aurora |
| 30/04/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Club Aurora | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Aurora | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Aurora | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
|---|---|---|
| Real Potosi | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Aurora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/09 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/11 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/02 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/11 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (66%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 66%, draw 20%, Academia de Balompie Boliviano 14%.
How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?
The model expects 3.7 goals (Club Aurora 2.54 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.16), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.