Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 07/10, 23:30
Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose
Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · GV San Jose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Independiente Petrolero2.56
GV San Jose1.16
1X2
Independiente Petrolero
Draw
GV San Jose
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Petrolero
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
GV San Jose
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Petrolero
2–1–3
GV San Jose
(6 last)
- GV San Jose1-3Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero1-0GV San Jose
- GV San Jose2-1Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero0-2GV San Jose
- Independiente Petrolero0-1GV San Jose
- GV San Jose2-2Independiente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1494 · GV San Jose 1414
| Independiente Petrolero | Draw | GV San Jose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Petrolero (rating 1494 vs 1414).
- H2H favours GV San Jose: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Petrolero | GV San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 2–1–3 GV San Jose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | GV San Jose | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 17/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 1-0 HT 1-0 | GV San Jose |
| 10/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | GV San Jose | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 06/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 0-2 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
| 28/09/24 Bolivia Clausura | Independiente Petrolero | 0-1 HT 0-1 | GV San Jose |
| 18/05/24 Bolivia Clausura | GV San Jose | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Independiente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Petrolero | GV San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Blooming | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 6-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
GV San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 27/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/02 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Petrolero win (66%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 66%, draw 19%, GV San Jose 14%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Independiente Petrolero 2.56 · GV San Jose 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs GV San Jose?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.