Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 08/10, 02:30
Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto
Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Universitario De Vinto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Oriente Petrolero2.63
Universitario De Vinto1.34
1X2
Oriente Petrolero
Draw
Universitario De Vinto
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Oriente Petrolero
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Universitario De Vinto
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oriente Petrolero
2–2–2
Universitario De Vinto
(6 last)
- Universitario De Vinto3-0Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero5-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero3-2Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto1-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero0-0Universitario De Vinto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1503 · Universitario De Vinto 1438
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1503 vs 1438).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oriente Petrolero | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.2 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.9 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 2–2–2 Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 10/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 08/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 03/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 21/05/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 04/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | Guabira | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oriente Petrolero | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Guabira | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| The Strongest | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Blooming | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 09/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | L |
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (63%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 63%, draw 21%, Universitario De Vinto 16%.
How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Oriente Petrolero 2.63 · Universitario De Vinto 1.34), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.