Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 04/10, 23:15
Prediction: Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero
Team pages: Guabira · Oriente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Guabira1.88
Oriente Petrolero1.29
1X2
Guabira
Draw
Oriente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Guabira
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Oriente Petrolero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guabira
0–2–4
Oriente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero1-0Guabira
- Oriente Petrolero2-2Guabira
- Oriente Petrolero4-0Guabira
- Guabira1-2Oriente Petrolero
- Guabira3-3Oriente Petrolero
- Guabira1-3Oriente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guabira 1446 · Oriente Petrolero 1513
| Guabira | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1446 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Oriente Petrolero: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guabira | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5.8 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 0–2–4 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 15/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 03/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 17/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 26/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 26/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Universitario De Vinto | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 4 | Guabira | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guabira | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Universitario De Vinto | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| The Strongest | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/11 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 31/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 09/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 31/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (50%). Probabilities: Guabira 50%, draw 25%, Oriente Petrolero 25%.
How many goals are expected in Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Guabira 1.88 · Oriente Petrolero 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.