Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 09/10, 22:00

Prediction: Tacuary vs Paraguari AC

Team pages: Tacuary · Paraguari AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Tacuary1.15

Paraguari AC1.35

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Tacuary Draw Paraguari AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLDWL

Paraguari AC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Tacuary 1–0 Paraguari AC (1 last)

Paraguari AC0-1Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1468 · Paraguari AC 1537

	Tacuary	Draw	Paraguari AC
Our model	30%	29%	40%
Market	31%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paraguari AC (rating 1468 vs 1537).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	Paraguari AC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.30

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:21 +15’	2.88	3.30	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 1–0–0 Paraguari AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Paraguari AC	0-1 HT 0-0	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
2	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33	25	41
6	Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32	39	39
7	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36	35	38
8	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	27	10	6	11	39	42	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	27	9	7	11	30	37	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	27	6	8	13	33	40	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30	43	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25	39	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	Paraguari AC
Club Atlético Tembetary	2-3 L	1-2 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-1 W	3-1 W
Carapegua	0-0 D	3-2 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-2 L	2-3 L
Encarnacion FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
3 de Noviembre	0-1 L	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	1-4 L	3-2 W
Guairena FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paraguari AC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuary

WLLDLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
26/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
20/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
09/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
10/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Paraguari AC

WDLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
19/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	4	7	W
14/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
08/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Paraguari AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Paraguari AC win (41%). Probabilities: Tacuary 31%, draw 28%, Paraguari AC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Paraguari AC?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Tacuary 1.15 · Paraguari AC 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Paraguari AC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.