Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/10, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs 3 de Noviembre

Team pages: Deportivo Santaní · 3 de Noviembre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Deportivo Santaní2.04

3 de Noviembre1.02

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Deportivo Santaní Draw 3 de Noviembre

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santaní 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWL

3 de Noviembre 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santaní 1–0 3 de Noviembre (1 last)

3 de Noviembre0-4Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1545 · 3 de Noviembre 1549

	Deportivo Santaní	Draw	3 de Noviembre
Our model	60%	23%	17%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santaní	3 de Noviembre
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.2	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
22:41 +3’	1.50	3.80	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 1–0–0 3 de Noviembre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	3 de Noviembre	0-4 HT 0-2	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	28	17	5	6	56	34	56
2	Deportivo Santaní	28	17	3	8	47	27	54
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	28	14	9	5	37	28	51
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	28	12	6	10	43	38	42
6	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	28	7	11	10	34	38	32
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santaní	3 de Noviembre
General Caballero JLM	1-2 L	3-1 W
Guairena FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	3-0 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	3-4 L
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	5-2 W
Tacuary	3-0 W	1-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-4 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santaní

WWLWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
07/10	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
27/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W

3 de Noviembre

WWWLWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-2	7	6	W
03/10	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
25/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	6	6	W
19/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs 3 de Noviembre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (60%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 60%, draw 23%, 3 de Noviembre 17%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Deportivo Santaní 2.04 · 3 de Noviembre 1.02), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.