Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/10, 21:30

Prediction: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Guairena FC

Team pages: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes · Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.46

Guairena FC0.72

1X2

55% 27% 18%

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Guairena FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLDLLW

Head-to-head

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 4–1 Guairena FC (5 last)

Guairena FC0-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Guairena FC0-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-0Guairena FC
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC1-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1512 · Guairena FC 1419

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	54%	29%	17%
Market	56%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1512 vs 1419).
H2H favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:31 +13’	1.61	3.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 4–0–1 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-1 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
14/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-1 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
04/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-0 HT 1-0	Guairena FC
31/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-0 HT 2-0	Guairena FC
26/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-0 HT 1-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	28	17	5	6	56	34	56
2	Deportivo Santaní	28	17	3	8	47	27	54
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	28	14	9	5	37	28	51
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	28	12	6	10	43	38	42
6	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	29	10	6	13	40	47	36
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Guairena FC
Resistencia FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sol de America	1-1 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Capiata	0-0 D	0-0 D
Independiente FBC	0-4 L	1-2 L
Paraguari AC	3-2 W	1-3 L
Encarnacion FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/10	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
27/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
20/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
16/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
11/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
30/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W

Guairena FC

LDLLLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
07/10	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
29/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
19/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
08/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
05/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (55%). Probabilities: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 55%, draw 27%, Guairena FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.17 goals (12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.46 · Guairena FC 0.72), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.