Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/10, 21:30

Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs General Caballero JLM

Team pages: Encarnacion FC · General Caballero JLM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Encarnacion FC0.82

General Caballero JLM2.01

1X2

14% 22% 64%

Encarnacion FC Draw General Caballero JLM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Encarnacion FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLLL

General Caballero JLM 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Encarnacion FC 0–1 General Caballero JLM (1 last)

General Caballero JLM1-0Encarnacion FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1446 · General Caballero JLM 1557

	Encarnacion FC	Draw	General Caballero JLM
Our model	13%	22%	64%
Market	14%	22%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Caballero JLM (rating 1446 vs 1557).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Encarnacion FC	General Caballero JLM
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.10

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +37’	6.50	4.10	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 0–0–1 General Caballero JLM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	1-0 HT 1-0	Encarnacion FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	28	17	5	6	56	34	56
2	Deportivo Santaní	28	17	3	8	47	27	54
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	28	14	9	5	37	28	51
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	28	12	6	10	43	38	42
6	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	28	7	11	10	34	38	32
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Encarnacion FC	General Caballero JLM
Guairena FC	0-1 L	3-0 W
Resistencia FC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Sol de America	0-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Capiata	3-1 W	2-1 W
Independiente FBC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Encarnacion FC

LWLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
02/10	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
26/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
15/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
05/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L

General Caballero JLM

WDWDWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
06/10	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
25/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
19/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
12/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs General Caballero JLM?

According to our model, the most likely result is an General Caballero JLM win (64%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 14%, draw 22%, General Caballero JLM 64%.

How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Encarnacion FC 0.82 · General Caballero JLM 2.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.