Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Club Atlético Tembetary vs Deportivo Capiata

Team pages: Club Atlético Tembetary · Deportivo Capiata

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Club Atlético Tembetary1.55

Deportivo Capiata1.31

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Club Atlético Tembetary Draw Deportivo Capiata

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético Tembetary 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLWWL

Deportivo Capiata 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLDDW

Head-to-head

Club Atlético Tembetary 2–0 Deportivo Capiata (2 last)

Deportivo Capiata1-3Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary2-0Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético Tembetary 1489 · Deportivo Capiata 1456

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Draw	Deportivo Capiata
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club Atlético Tembetary: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Deportivo Capiata
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	1.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.36 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 13.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:51 +7’	2.15	3.30	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +63’	2.38	3.03	2.67
04:24 +50’	2.40▲	2.98▼	2.69▲
05:25 +47’	2.41▲	2.94▼	2.70▲
08:47 +29’	2.43▲	2.90▼	2.72▲
09:59 +14’	2.46▲	2.83▼	2.75▲
11:31 +9’	2.44▼	2.68▼	2.72▼
13:18 +63’	2.36▼	2.97▲	2.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético Tembetary 2–0–0 Deportivo Capiata

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-3 HT 0-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
09/08/22 Paraguay Cup	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	28	17	5	6	56	34	56
2	Deportivo Santaní	28	17	3	8	47	27	54
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	28	14	9	5	37	28	51
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	28	12	6	10	43	38	42
6	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	28	7	11	10	34	38	32
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético Tembetary	Deportivo Capiata
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	3-1 W
Carapegua	1-2 L	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	0-0 D
Encarnacion FC	0-2 L	1-3 L
Deportivo Santaní	4-3 W	0-1 L
Fernando de la Mora	2-1 W	0-1 L
3 de Noviembre	0-3 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético Tembetary

LWWLDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
03/10	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
28/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
21/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
15/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
29/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	3	5	W
22/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
17/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-3	6	6	L

Deportivo Capiata

LDLWLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
02/10	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
27/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-3	6	1	L
13/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
09/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
03/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
28/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
16/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Deportivo Capiata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético Tembetary win (42%). Probabilities: Club Atlético Tembetary 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Capiata 31%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Club Atlético Tembetary 1.55 · Deportivo Capiata 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.