Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 21/10, 00:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Fernando de la Mora

Team pages: Paraguari AC · Fernando de la Mora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Paraguari AC1.4

Fernando de la Mora1.51

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Paraguari AC Draw Fernando de la Mora

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWLWW

Fernando de la Mora 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1–0 Fernando de la Mora (1 last)

Fernando de la Mora2-2Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1553 · Fernando de la Mora 1493

	Paraguari AC	Draw	Fernando de la Mora
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	34%	27%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paraguari AC (rating 1553 vs 1493).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	Fernando de la Mora
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	3.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.30

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.30 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:20 +3’	1.95	3.30	3.30
02:14 +21’	2.63▲	3.30	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–1–0 Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	2-2 HT 1-1	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	28	17	5	6	56	34	56
2	Deportivo Santaní	28	17	3	8	47	27	54
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	28	14	9	5	37	28	51
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	28	12	6	10	43	38	42
6	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	29	10	6	13	40	47	36
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	Fernando de la Mora
Tacuary	4-2 W	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	1-0 W	2-3 L
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-2 L	1-2 L
General Caballero JLM	3-2 W	0-2 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-1 W	2-1 W
Guairena FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
Resistencia FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Paraguari AC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paraguari AC

DLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-2	2	5	W
03/10	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
19/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	4	7	W
14/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
08/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D

Fernando de la Mora

WLDDWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-3	11	6	L
06/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
29/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
19/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Fernando de la Mora?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fernando de la Mora win (39%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 34%, draw 27%, Fernando de la Mora 39%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Paraguari AC 1.4 · Fernando de la Mora 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.