Football · El Salvador Apertura · 09/10, 03:30
Prediction: CD FAS vs Alianza FC
Team pages: CD FAS · Alianza FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
CD FAS1.81
Alianza FC1.08
1X2
CD FAS
Draw
Alianza FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD FAS
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD FAS
2–2–2
Alianza FC
(6 last)
- Alianza FC0-2CD FAS
- CD FAS3-1Alianza FC
- CD FAS2-2Alianza FC
- Alianza FC2-0CD FAS
- Alianza FC1-0CD FAS
- CD FAS1-1Alianza FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD FAS 1581 · Alianza FC 1485
| CD FAS | Draw | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1581 vs 1485).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD FAS | Alianza FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 2–2–2 Alianza FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD FAS |
| 15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Alianza FC |
| 26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD FAS | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Alianza FC |
| 25/08/25 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CD FAS |
| 06/04/25 El Salvador Clausura | Alianza FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD FAS |
| 09/02/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD FAS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | AD Isidro Metapan | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 8 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 16 |
| 9 | CD INCA Aruba | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 13 |
| 11 | CD Cacahuatique | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 11 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD FAS | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| CD INCA Aruba | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Municipal Limeno | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| CD Cacahuatique | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Aguila | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Atlético Balboa | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CD FAS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD FAS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 28/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Alianza FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/10 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/09 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (54%). Probabilities: CD FAS 54%, draw 25%, Alianza FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (CD FAS 1.81 · Alianza FC 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.