Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 17/10, 02:00

Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs GV San Jose

Team pages: Real Tomayapo · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Real Tomayapo1.67

GV San Jose1.13

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Real Tomayapo Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Tomayapo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLLLD

GV San Jose 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

Real Tomayapo 2–3 GV San Jose (5 last)

GV San Jose3-2Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo2-1GV San Jose
GV San Jose3-1Real Tomayapo
GV San Jose5-0Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo2-0GV San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1448 · GV San Jose 1405

	Real Tomayapo	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	49%	27%	25%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Tomayapo (rating 1448 vs 1405).
H2H favours GV San Jose: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Tomayapo	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.5	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:27 +13’	1.85	3.70	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 2–0–3 GV San Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	3-2 HT 0-1	Real Tomayapo
03/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	2-1 HT 2-0	GV San Jose
30/03/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	3-1 HT 3-1	Real Tomayapo
25/09/24 Bolivia Clausura	GV San Jose	5-0 HT 3-0	Real Tomayapo
11/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	Real Tomayapo	2-0 HT 0-0	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	21	15	3	3	55	22	48
2	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47	13	45
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	39	23	42
4	Real Potosi	21	9	8	4	28	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	37	27	33
6	Club Aurora	21	7	10	4	33	29	31
7	Guabira	21	8	5	8	33	43	29
8	Nacional Potosi	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	30	23	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27	35	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	35	51	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21	40	21
13	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	21	6	2	13	31	46	20
14	Universitario De Vinto	21	5	3	13	27	42	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15	39	17
16	GV San Jose	21	3	8	10	25	38	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Tomayapo	GV San Jose
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0-0 D	0-0 D
Oriente Petrolero	0-2 L	3-3 D
Bolivar	1-2 L	2-4 L
Real Potosi	1-0 W	0-0 D
Always Ready	1-1 D	2-3 L
Universitario De Vinto	1-0 W	2-1 W
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Tomayapo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Tomayapo

DLLWDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
18/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
07/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	1	4	L
27/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
24/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
14/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
08/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
05/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D

GV San Jose

WDDLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	2-4	0	5	L
12/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
25/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	2	9	D
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
05/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
02/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tomayapo win (49%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 49%, draw 26%, GV San Jose 25%.

How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Real Tomayapo 1.67 · GV San Jose 1.13), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.