Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 25/10, 22:15
Prediction: Club Aurora vs Real Tomayapo
Team pages: Club Aurora · Real Tomayapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Club Aurora2.15
Real Tomayapo0.6
1X2
Club Aurora
Draw
Real Tomayapo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Aurora
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Real Tomayapo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Aurora
1–2–3
Real Tomayapo
(6 last)
- Real Tomayapo0-2Club Aurora
- Club Aurora1-2Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo0-0Club Aurora
- Real Tomayapo2-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora0-0Real Tomayapo
- Club Aurora1-2Real Tomayapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1506 · Real Tomayapo 1445
| Club Aurora | Draw | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 8% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1506 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Real Tomayapo: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Aurora | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 1–2–3 Real Tomayapo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 20/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Real Tomayapo |
| 04/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 13/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Real Tomayapo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club Aurora |
| 27/08/24 Bolivia Clausura | Club Aurora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 24/08/23 Bolivia Apertura | Club Aurora | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Real Tomayapo |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 50 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 34 |
| 6 | Club Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabira | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 30 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 29 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 51 | 27 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 43 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario De Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 21 |
| 14 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 51 | 20 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 20 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Aurora | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guabira | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| GV San Jose | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Always Ready | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Potosi | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Bolivar | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Aurora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
Real Tomayapo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 24/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (73%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 73%, draw 18%, Real Tomayapo 9%.
How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Club Aurora 2.15 · Real Tomayapo 0.6), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.