Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 26/10, 00:30

Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest

Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · The Strongest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Oriente Petrolero1.91

The Strongest1.35

1X2

50% 24% 27%

Oriente Petrolero Draw The Strongest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oriente Petrolero 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLLWWD

The Strongest 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 1–1–4 The Strongest (6 last)

Oriente Petrolero1-1The Strongest
The Strongest2-1Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest2-1Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest3-0Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-3The Strongest
The Strongest1-2Oriente Petrolero

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1526 · The Strongest 1583

	Oriente Petrolero	Draw	The Strongest
Our model	49%	24%	26%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1526 vs 1583).
H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oriente Petrolero	The Strongest
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 23:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	3.00 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.83 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:05 +23’	2.05	3.70	3.00
03:15 +4’	2.05	3.75▲	3.00
08:54 +24’	2.05	4.00▲	2.88▼
11:14 +2’	1.91▼	4.00	3.20▲
16:05 +10’	1.85▼	4.00	3.30▲
23:00 +2’	1.83▼	4.00	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:41 +40’	2.12	3.45	2.92
02:41 +39’	2.09▼	3.60▲	2.87▼
09:49 +27’	1.96▼	3.68▲	3.07▲
10:20 +56’	1.93▼	3.70▲	3.15▲
20:32 +30’	1.97▲	3.60▼	3.12▼
23:02	1.73▼	3.96▲	3.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 1–1–4 The Strongest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	1-1 HT 1-1	The Strongest
19/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
16/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
12/03/26 America Friendlies	The Strongest	3-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
08/03/26 America Friendlies	Oriente Petrolero	2-3 HT 1-1	The Strongest
31/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	1-2 HT 0-1	Oriente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	22	16	3	3	56	22	51
2	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55	16	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42	26	45
4	Real Potosi	23	10	8	5	30	16	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40	29	37
6	Club Aurora	23	8	10	5	34	30	34
7	Guabira	22	8	6	8	34	44	30
8	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31	39	29
9	Nacional Potosi	22	8	4	10	32	31	28
10	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31	25	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37	56	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24	43	24
13	Universitario De Vinto	22	6	3	13	29	43	21
14	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	23	6	2	15	33	51	20
15	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16	40	20
16	GV San Jose	23	4	8	11	27	40	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oriente Petrolero	The Strongest
Guabira	1-1 D	1-3 L
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-0 W	2-1 W
Real Tomayapo	2-0 W	3-1 W
Real Potosi	1-2 L	0-1 L
Always Ready	1-2 L	2-1 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4-0 W	3-0 W
Real Oruro	3-2 W	5-0 W
Universitario De Vinto	5-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriente Petrolero

LWWWDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
11/10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
18/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
06/09	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	10	6	L
25/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-3	4	9	D
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
06/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L

The Strongest

WLLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
11/10	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
15/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
12/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	8	2	W
07/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	10	4	W
26/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
22/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
15/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
06/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (50%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 50%, draw 24%, The Strongest 27%.

How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Oriente Petrolero 1.91 · The Strongest 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.