Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 17/10, 21:00

Prediction: Real Oruro vs Club Aurora

Team pages: Real Oruro · Club Aurora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Real Oruro1.35

Club Aurora1.68

1X2

30% 25% 45%

Real Oruro Draw Club Aurora

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Oruro 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLLW

Club Aurora 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLDDWWLD

Head-to-head

Real Oruro 1–2–0 Club Aurora (3 last)

Club Aurora1-1Real Oruro
Real Oruro5-3Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-2Real Oruro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1457 · Club Aurora 1535

	Real Oruro	Draw	Club Aurora
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	31%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1457 vs 1535).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Oruro	Club Aurora
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:53 +8’	3.00	3.75	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 1–2–0 Club Aurora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	1-1 HT 1-1	Real Oruro
17/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	5-3 HT 2-1	Club Aurora
26/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	2-2 HT 0-2	Real Oruro

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	21	15	3	3	55	22	48
2	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47	13	45
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	39	23	42
4	Real Potosi	21	9	8	4	28	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	37	27	33
6	Club Aurora	21	7	10	4	33	29	31
7	Guabira	21	8	5	8	33	43	29
8	Nacional Potosi	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	30	23	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27	35	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	35	51	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21	40	21
13	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	21	6	2	13	31	46	20
14	Universitario De Vinto	21	5	3	13	27	42	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15	39	17
16	GV San Jose	21	3	8	10	25	38	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Oruro	Club Aurora
Real Potosi	0-2 L	0-0 D
The Strongest	0-5 L	1-1 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-0 W	2-0 W
Blooming	1-1 D	0-3 L
Bolivar	2-4 L	2-4 L
Independiente Petrolero	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Oruro

LLWLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
15/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
12/09	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
04/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
27/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
15/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
08/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
04/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
01/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-3	3	6	L

Club Aurora

DDLLDDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	12	5	D
16/09	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	9	5	L
12/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
05/09	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
22/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	9	9	L
09/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-4	6	6	L
05/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
31/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Club Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Aurora win (45%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 30%, draw 25%, Club Aurora 45%.

How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Club Aurora?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Real Oruro 1.35 · Club Aurora 1.68), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Club Aurora?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.