Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 18/10, 01:30

Prediction: Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero

Team pages: Blooming · Independiente Petrolero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Blooming2.53

Independiente Petrolero0.93

1X2

71% 18% 11%

Blooming Draw Independiente Petrolero

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Blooming 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDLWDL

Independiente Petrolero 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Blooming 3–3 Independiente Petrolero (6 last)

Blooming0-1Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero5-2Blooming
Independiente Petrolero3-1Blooming
Blooming1-0Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero0-4Blooming
Independiente Petrolero1-5Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blooming 1464 · Independiente Petrolero 1499

	Blooming	Draw	Independiente Petrolero
Our model	71%	18%	11%
Market	71%	18%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blooming	Independiente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.5	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.25

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +20’	1.30	5.25	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 3–0–3 Independiente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Blooming	0-1 HT 0-0	Independiente Petrolero
20/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Independiente Petrolero	5-2 HT 1-2	Blooming
14/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	3-1 HT 0-1	Blooming
17/03/26 America Friendlies	Blooming	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Petrolero
13/03/26 America Friendlies	Independiente Petrolero	0-4 HT 0-2	Blooming
21/02/26 America Friendlies	Independiente Petrolero	1-5	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bolivar	21	15	3	3	55	22	48
2	Always Ready	20	13	6	1	47	13	45
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	39	23	42
4	Real Potosi	21	9	8	4	28	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	37	27	33
6	Club Aurora	21	7	10	4	33	29	31
7	Guabira	21	8	5	8	33	43	29
8	Nacional Potosi	21	8	4	9	32	30	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	30	23	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	20	7	4	9	27	35	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	35	51	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	21	40	21
13	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	21	6	2	13	31	46	20
14	Universitario De Vinto	21	5	3	13	27	42	18
15	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	15	39	17
16	GV San Jose	21	3	8	10	25	38	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blooming	Independiente Petrolero
Bolivar	0-1 L	0-4 L
Universitario De Vinto	1-1 D	1-3 L
Nacional Potosi	1-2 L	0-3 L
Real Oruro	1-1 D	3-0 W
Guabira	1-1 D	3-1 W
Club Aurora	3-0 W	1-1 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Blooming (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blooming

LDLWDDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
17/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	9	D
13/09	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	6-1	6	4	W
07/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
27/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
23/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L

Independiente Petrolero

LWDWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-3	7	0	L
13/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
06/09	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-4	0	6	L
28/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
23/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
08/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
05/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
01/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
26/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (71%). Probabilities: Blooming 71%, draw 18%, Independiente Petrolero 11%.

How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Blooming 2.53 · Independiente Petrolero 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.