Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 04/10, 14:00
Prediction: OFK Vrsac vs Metalac Gornji
Team pages: OFK Vrsac · Metalac Gornji
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
OFK Vrsac1.45
Metalac Gornji1.02
1X2
OFK Vrsac
Draw
Metalac Gornji
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
OFK Vrsac
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Metalac Gornji
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OFK Vrsac
3–1–2
Metalac Gornji
(6 last)
- OFK Vrsac1-0Metalac Gornji
- Metalac Gornji1-1OFK Vrsac
- OFK Vrsac1-0Metalac Gornji
- OFK Vrsac1-4Metalac Gornji
- OFK Vrsac1-0Metalac Gornji
- Metalac Gornji4-1OFK Vrsac
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OFK Vrsac 1543 · Metalac Gornji 1512
| OFK Vrsac | Draw | Metalac Gornji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours OFK Vrsac: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFK Vrsac | Metalac Gornji | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Vrsac 3–1–2 Metalac Gornji
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/24 Serbia Prva Liga | OFK Vrsac | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Metalac Gornji |
| 06/03/24 Serbia Prva Liga | Metalac Gornji | 1-1 HT 1-1 | OFK Vrsac |
| 23/09/23 Serbia Prva Liga | OFK Vrsac | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Metalac Gornji |
| 28/05/23 Serbia Prva Liga | OFK Vrsac | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Metalac Gornji |
| 12/11/22 Serbia Prva Liga | OFK Vrsac | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Metalac Gornji |
| 15/08/22 Serbia Prva Liga | Metalac Gornji | 4-1 HT 3-0 | OFK Vrsac |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | FK Backa Topola | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Smederevo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | OFK Vrsac | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Javor Ivanjica | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Metalac Gornji | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Subotica | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | FK Vozdovac | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Loznica | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Dubocica | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | FK Napredak | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | FK Proleter 023 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Graficar Beograd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Teleoptik | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Bor 1919 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | Jedinstvo UB | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OFK Vrsac | Metalac Gornji |
|---|---|---|
| Smederevo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Bor 1919 | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Napredak | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Graficar Beograd | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Spartak Subotica | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Borac Cacak | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Dubocica | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| FK Proleter 023 | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Metalac Gornji (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFK Vrsac
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga |
4-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/08 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Metalac Gornji
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFK Vrsac vs Metalac Gornji?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Vrsac win (46%). Probabilities: OFK Vrsac 46%, draw 28%, Metalac Gornji 26%.
How many goals are expected in OFK Vrsac vs Metalac Gornji?
The model expects 2.47 goals (OFK Vrsac 1.45 · Metalac Gornji 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in OFK Vrsac vs Metalac Gornji?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.