Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Graficar Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica

Team pages: FK Graficar Beograd · Javor Ivanjica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

FK Graficar Beograd1.21

Javor Ivanjica2.15

1X2

19% 23% 58%

FK Graficar Beograd Draw Javor Ivanjica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Graficar Beograd 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWLWL

Javor Ivanjica 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDDWDW

Head-to-head

FK Graficar Beograd 0–2–4 Javor Ivanjica (6 last)

Javor Ivanjica3-0FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd1-1Javor Ivanjica
Javor Ivanjica3-1FK Graficar Beograd
Javor Ivanjica0-0FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd1-2Javor Ivanjica
Javor Ivanjica2-0FK Graficar Beograd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Graficar Beograd 1471 · Javor Ivanjica 1555

	FK Graficar Beograd	Draw	Javor Ivanjica
Our model	20%	22%	58%
Market	19%	24%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Javor Ivanjica (rating 1471 vs 1555).
H2H favours Javor Ivanjica: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Graficar Beograd	Javor Ivanjica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	2.1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +22’	4.75	3.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Graficar Beograd 0–2–4 Javor Ivanjica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Javor Ivanjica	3-0 HT 0-0	FK Graficar Beograd
22/03/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	1-1 HT 0-1	Javor Ivanjica
26/10/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Javor Ivanjica	3-1 HT 1-0	FK Graficar Beograd
25/02/22 Serbia Prva Liga	Javor Ivanjica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Graficar Beograd
17/09/21 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	1-2 HT 1-1	Javor Ivanjica
24/07/21 Europe Friendlies	Javor Ivanjica	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Graficar Beograd

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	12	8	1	3	21	16	25
2	FK Backa Topola	12	6	6	0	24	13	24
3	Smederevo	12	7	3	2	21	13	24
4	Javor Ivanjica	12	6	5	1	29	14	23
5	OFK Vrsac	12	7	1	4	16	11	22
6	Metalac Gornji	12	5	3	4	16	12	18
7	FK Napredak	12	5	2	5	13	15	17
8	FK Dubocica	12	4	4	4	13	15	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	4	3	5	11	11	15
10	Loznica	12	3	6	3	16	19	15
11	Spartak Subotica	12	4	3	5	18	23	15
12	FK Proleter 023	12	3	4	5	19	15	13
13	FK Graficar Beograd	12	3	1	8	16	23	10
14	Teleoptik	12	2	4	6	14	23	10
15	Jedinstvo UB	12	2	2	8	11	21	8
16	Bor 1919	12	2	2	8	7	21	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Graficar Beograd	Javor Ivanjica
OFK Vrsac	1-4 L	1-2 L
Borac Cacak	1-2 L	3-1 W
FK Dubocica	1-4 L	1-1 D
FK Proleter 023	1-2 L	4-2 W
Loznica	2-2 D	2-2 D
FK Vozdovac	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Javor Ivanjica (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Graficar Beograd

WDLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	4	7	L
28/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	3-1	4-1	5	2	W
21/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
17/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
12/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-4	1-4	2	4	L
05/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
31/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-4	6	6	L
24/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
19/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-2	1	6	D
14/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	0	4	W

Javor Ivanjica

LWDWWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
28/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-2	1	3	W
17/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
12/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
05/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	2	4	W
24/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-2	3	10	D
19/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
15/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Graficar Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Javor Ivanjica win (58%). Probabilities: FK Graficar Beograd 19%, draw 23%, Javor Ivanjica 58%.

How many goals are expected in FK Graficar Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica?

The model expects 3.36 goals (FK Graficar Beograd 1.21 · Javor Ivanjica 2.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Graficar Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.