Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 04/10, 19:00

Prediction: Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi

Team pages: Santa Ana · Cariari Pococi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Santa Ana1.54

Cariari Pococi1.14

1X2

45% 27% 27%

Santa Ana Draw Cariari Pococi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Ana 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWLLW

Cariari Pococi 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDDDLWDL

Head-to-head

Santa Ana 2–3–1 Cariari Pococi (6 last)

Cariari Pococi1-2Santa Ana
Santa Ana1-1Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi4-1Santa Ana
Cariari Pococi1-1Santa Ana
Santa Ana2-2Cariari Pococi
Santa Ana2-0Cariari Pococi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Ana 1530 · Cariari Pococi 1520

	Santa Ana	Draw	Cariari Pococi
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Ana: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santa Ana	Cariari Pococi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:04 +11’	1.95	3.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana 2–3–1 Cariari Pococi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	1-2 HT 0-1	Santa Ana
10/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	1-1 HT 0-0	Cariari Pococi
18/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	4-1 HT 1-1	Santa Ana
08/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	1-1 HT 0-1	Santa Ana
26/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	2-2 HT 1-1	Cariari Pococi
20/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	2-0 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	8	5	3	0	15	9	18
2	Santa Ana	9	6	0	3	13	10	18
3	AD Carmelita	10	4	3	3	19	11	15
4	FC Aserri	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
5	Cariari Pococi	8	2	4	2	9	9	10
6	FC Moravia	10	3	1	6	12	13	10
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
8	Guadalupe FC	9	1	3	5	10	17	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Ana	Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Aserri	0-1 L	1-1 D
Guadalupe FC	2-1 W	3-3 D
Futbol Consultants Desamparados	2-1 W	1-0 W
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	0-2 L	2-1 W
CS Uruguay de Coronado	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cariari Pococi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Ana

WWWWLWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
26/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
20/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
13/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
01/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
23/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
09/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	3-2	9	6	W
01/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	2-2	3-2	7	5	W

Cariari Pococi

DWWDDDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
29/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	9	D
24/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
22/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	0	D
29/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	7	4	D
21/08	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Ana win (45%). Probabilities: Santa Ana 45%, draw 27%, Cariari Pococi 27%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Santa Ana 1.54 · Cariari Pococi 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.