Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 13/10, 03:00

Prediction: Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs FC Aserri

Team pages: Pitbulls Santa Barbara · FC Aserri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.45

FC Aserri0.85

1X2

51% 27% 22%

Pitbulls Santa Barbara Draw FC Aserri

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLDD

FC Aserri 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1–2–2 FC Aserri (5 last)

FC Aserri1-1Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara0-0FC Aserri
FC Aserri1-0Pitbulls Santa Barbara
FC Aserri1-0Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara2-0FC Aserri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1528 · FC Aserri 1525

	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	Draw	FC Aserri
Our model	50%	29%	21%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Aserri: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	FC Aserri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +19’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1–2–2 FC Aserri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	1-1 HT 0-1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
03/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Aserri
19/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	1-0 HT 1-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
23/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	1-0 HT 0-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
19/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Aserri

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	10	7	0	3	18	10	21
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	9	5	4	0	17	11	19
3	AD Carmelita	11	4	3	4	19	13	15
4	FC Aserri	10	4	2	4	10	11	14
5	Cariari Pococi	9	3	4	2	10	9	13
6	Guadalupe FC	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
7	FC Moravia	11	3	1	7	12	14	10
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	11	2	3	6	9	23	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	FC Aserri
CS Uruguay de Coronado	2-2 D	1-0 W
Guadalupe FC	2-2 D	2-3 L
Cariari Pococi	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Moravia	3-2 W	0-1 L
AD Carmelita	2-1 W	2-1 W
Santa Ana	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pitbulls Santa Barbara (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

DWDWWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
27/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
22/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
15/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
07/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	9	W
01/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
22/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	10	6	W
11/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	2	D

FC Aserri

DLWDWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-3	9	4	L
26/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
20/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
12/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
06/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
28/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
01/08	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
12/04	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	2-2	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs FC Aserri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pitbulls Santa Barbara win (51%). Probabilities: Pitbulls Santa Barbara 51%, draw 27%, FC Aserri 22%.

How many goals are expected in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs FC Aserri?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.45 · FC Aserri 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs FC Aserri?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.