Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 11/10, 21:00

Prediction: Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Sarchi

Team pages: Quepos Cambute FC · AD Sarchi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Quepos Cambute FC1.95

AD Sarchi1.02

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Quepos Cambute FC Draw AD Sarchi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Quepos Cambute FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLWWL

AD Sarchi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDDLWLWL

Head-to-head

Quepos Cambute FC 2–2–2 AD Sarchi (6 last)

AD Sarchi1-1Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC2-0AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi2-2Quepos Cambute FC
AD Sarchi1-3Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC1-2AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi1-0Quepos Cambute FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quepos Cambute FC 1530 · AD Sarchi 1466

	Quepos Cambute FC	Draw	AD Sarchi
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quepos Cambute FC (rating 1530 vs 1466).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quepos Cambute FC	AD Sarchi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	5.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.92
2	5.50 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.01 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:22 +18’	1.48	3.80	5.50
02:00 +6’	1.30▼	4.50▲	7.50▲
10:14 +4’	1.30	4.33▼	7.50
14:43 +5’	1.53▲	3.90▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:20	1.48	3.94	5.01
09:30 +48’	1.49▲	3.92▼	5.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Quepos Cambute FC 2–2–2 AD Sarchi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 1-1	Quepos Cambute FC
10/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	2-0 HT 1-0	AD Sarchi
24/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	2-2 HT 1-0	Quepos Cambute FC
12/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-3 HT 1-1	Quepos Cambute FC
31/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	1-2 HT 1-1	AD Sarchi
02/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-0 HT 1-0	Quepos Cambute FC

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	9	6	3	0	15	5	21
2	Quepos Cambute FC	9	5	1	3	13	7	16
3	AD Grecia	8	4	2	2	9	6	14
4	AD Rosario	8	4	1	3	11	10	13
5	AD Sarchi	8	3	2	3	8	11	11
6	PFA Santa Cruz	9	2	0	7	11	19	6
7	AD Cofutpa	9	1	1	7	8	17	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quepos Cambute FC	AD Sarchi
AD Rosario	0-1 L	2-1 W
AD Grecia	1-0 W	0-1 L
PFA Santa Cruz	2-0 W	0-4 L
ADR Jicaral	0-2 L	0-1 L
AD Cofutpa	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Quepos Cambute FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quepos Cambute FC

LWLWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
27/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
06/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
30/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	12	5	W
23/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
09/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
02/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
10/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-3	1	13	L

AD Sarchi

LDWDDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
19/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
13/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
23/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	16	9	D
09/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/04	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Sarchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quepos Cambute FC win (58%). Probabilities: Quepos Cambute FC 58%, draw 23%, AD Sarchi 19%.

How many goals are expected in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Sarchi?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Quepos Cambute FC 1.95 · AD Sarchi 1.02), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Sarchi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.