Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 04/10, 19:00

Prediction: ADR Jicaral vs AD Cofutpa

Team pages: ADR Jicaral · AD Cofutpa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

ADR Jicaral2.08

AD Cofutpa0.61

1X2

72% 18% 10%

ADR Jicaral Draw AD Cofutpa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

ADR Jicaral 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWDDW

AD Cofutpa 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLW

Head-to-head

ADR Jicaral 5–1 AD Cofutpa (6 last)

AD Cofutpa0-1ADR Jicaral
AD Cofutpa1-2ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral1-0AD Cofutpa
ADR Jicaral2-0AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa2-1ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral4-1AD Cofutpa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ADR Jicaral 1578 · AD Cofutpa 1396

	ADR Jicaral	Draw	AD Cofutpa
Our model	71%	20%	9%
Market	73%	17%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1578 vs 1396).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ADR Jicaral	AD Cofutpa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.4	1.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.25

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Pinn 1.26 ★
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +17’	1.22	5.25	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +73’	1.18	5.67	9.87
08:32 +76’	1.18▲	5.63▼	9.80▼
17:00 +11’	1.26▲	5.06▼	8.37▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ADR Jicaral 5–0–1 AD Cofutpa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	0-1 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
22/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	1-2 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
08/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	1-0 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
25/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-0 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
07/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	2-1 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
05/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	4-1 HT 2-0	AD Cofutpa

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	8	5	3	0	12	4	18
2	Quepos Cambute FC	9	5	1	3	13	7	16
3	AD Grecia	8	4	2	2	9	6	14
4	AD Rosario	8	4	1	3	11	10	13
5	AD Sarchi	8	3	2	3	8	11	11
6	PFA Santa Cruz	9	2	0	7	11	19	6
7	AD Cofutpa	8	1	1	6	7	14	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ADR Jicaral	AD Cofutpa
AD Sarchi	1-0 W	1-2 L
AD Rosario	1-1 D	1-2 L
AD Grecia	1-1 D	0-0 D
Quepos Cambute FC	2-0 W	0-3 L
PFA Santa Cruz	4-1 W	3-1 W
Inter San Carlos	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ADR Jicaral

LDWDWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
20/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
13/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	8	W
23/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
17/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
09/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
31/07	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	12	D
18/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

AD Cofutpa

LLLLLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
13/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-2	6	8	L
08/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
30/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
17/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
09/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-3	–	–	L
02/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
12/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
05/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ADR Jicaral vs AD Cofutpa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ADR Jicaral win (72%). Probabilities: ADR Jicaral 72%, draw 18%, AD Cofutpa 10%.

How many goals are expected in ADR Jicaral vs AD Cofutpa?

The model expects 2.69 goals (ADR Jicaral 2.08 · AD Cofutpa 0.61), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ADR Jicaral vs AD Cofutpa?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.