Football · South Korea K4 League · 04/10, 08:00

Prediction: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Sejong SA

Team pages: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC · Sejong SA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1.44
Sejong SA1.71
1X2
32% 25% 44%
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC Draw Sejong SA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLLDD
Sejong SA 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1–2–0 Sejong SA (3 last)
  • Sejong SA2-2Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
  • Sejong SA0-0Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen FC3-2Sejong SA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1409 · Sejong SA 1490
Pyeongtaek Citizen FCDrawSejong SA
Our model31%25%43%
Market32%24%44%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong SA (rating 1409 vs 1490).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pyeongtaek Citizen FCSejong SA
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.91.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.33.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.43.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1–2–0 Sejong SA

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Sejong SA2-2
HT 2-0
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
01/11/25
South Korea K4 League
Sejong SA0-0
HT 0-0
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
19/07/25
South Korea K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC3-2
HT 1-2
Sejong SA

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPyeongtaek Citizen FCSejong SA
Namyangju FC 2-2 D 3-0 W
Geumsan Insam 0-0 D 3-2 W
Gijang United 2-3 L 0-1 L
Jinju Citizen FC 0-2 L 0-4 L
Seosan Pioneer 0-5 L 2-1 W
Haman 0-2 L 0-1 L
Jincheon HR 1-0 W 4-1 W
Pyeongchang United 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sejong SA (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

LLWLDLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-2 41 D
05/09 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 37 D
29/08 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 61 L
26/07 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
– 0-2 –– L
12/07 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-3 0-5 52 L
27/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 21 D
06/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 77 L
30/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 55 W
24/05 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 45 L
17/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-3 34 L

Sejong SA

LDLWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 35 W
23/08 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-2 4-5 80 L
26/07 Haman
South Korea K4 League
– 0-1 –– L
11/07 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-0 4-1 64 W
28/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-3 53 L
30/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 3-0 01 W
23/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-2 3-2 83 W
17/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 143 L
10/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-2 48 D
03/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-4 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sejong SA win (44%). Probabilities: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 32%, draw 25%, Sejong SA 44%.

How many goals are expected in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1.44 · Sejong SA 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Sejong SA?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.