Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 13/10, 20:45
Prediction: Three Bridges vs Lewes
Team pages: Three Bridges · Lewes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Three Bridges1.79
Lewes1.55
1X2
Three Bridges
Draw
Lewes
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Three Bridges
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Lewes
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Three Bridges
1–2–0
Lewes
(3 last)
- Three Bridges4-0Lewes
- Lewes1-1Three Bridges
- Lewes2-2Three Bridges
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Three Bridges 1466 · Lewes 1542
| Three Bridges | Draw | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lewes (rating 1466 vs 1542).
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Three Bridges | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Three Bridges 1–2–0 Lewes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification | Three Bridges | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Lewes |
| 17/09/22 England FA Cup Qualification | Lewes | 1-1 | Three Bridges |
| 06/11/19 England County Cup | Lewes | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Three Bridges |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Welling | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Carshalton Ath | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | St Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 17 |
| 9 | Dulwich | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Chatham Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill Town | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 14 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 9 |
| 18 | AFC Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Three Bridges | Lewes |
|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| St Albans | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Carshalton Ath | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Aveley | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Chatham Town | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Eastbourne Borough | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lewes (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Three Bridges
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 15/09 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Lewes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Uxbridge England FA Trophy |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/09 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Three Bridges vs Lewes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Three Bridges win (43%). Probabilities: Three Bridges 43%, draw 25%, Lewes 33%.
How many goals are expected in Three Bridges vs Lewes?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Three Bridges 1.79 · Lewes 1.55), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Three Bridges vs Lewes?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.