Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Brentwood Town vs Dartford

Team pages: Brentwood Town · Dartford

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Brentwood Town1.67

Dartford1.69

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Brentwood Town Draw Dartford

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Brentwood Town 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Dartford 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brentwood Town 0–1–3 Dartford (4 last)

Dartford1-0Brentwood Town
Dartford3-2Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town1-1Dartford
Brentwood Town1-2Dartford

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brentwood Town 1471 · Dartford 1558

	Brentwood Town	Draw	Dartford
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dartford (rating 1471 vs 1558).
H2H favours Dartford: 3-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brentwood Town	Dartford
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +50’	2.40	3.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentwood Town 0–1–3 Dartford

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	1-0	Brentwood Town
31/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	3-2 HT 2-1	Brentwood Town
11/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Brentwood Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Dartford
25/11/17 England FA Trophy	Brentwood Town	1-2	Dartford

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	12	8	0	4	19	14	24
5	Carshalton Ath	14	7	1	6	21	24	22
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	11	5	2	4	20	16	17
11	Wingate & Finchley	11	5	2	4	20	21	17
12	Chatham Town	10	5	0	5	19	14	15
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	12	4	2	6	19	19	14
17	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	13	3	1	9	16	34	10
19	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
20	Three Bridges	12	2	3	7	23	34	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	11	1	1	9	9	30	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brentwood Town	Dartford
Chatham Town	0-3 L	1-0 W
AFC Whyteleafe	2-1 W	1-2 L
Maldon Tiptree FC	5-1 W	2-1 W
Carshalton Ath	0-2 L	3-0 W
Enfield Town	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dartford (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brentwood Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
26/09	Hashtag United England FA Trophy	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	5-1	10	2	W
15/09	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-3	2-3	9	2	L
12/09	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
22/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L

Dartford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
10/10	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
06/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brentwood Town vs Dartford?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dartford win (38%). Probabilities: Brentwood Town 37%, draw 25%, Dartford 38%.

How many goals are expected in Brentwood Town vs Dartford?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Brentwood Town 1.67 · Dartford 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brentwood Town vs Dartford?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.