Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 12/10, 20:45

Prediction: Carshalton Ath vs Enfield Town

Team pages: Carshalton Ath · Enfield Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Carshalton Ath1.54

Enfield Town2.09

1X2

27% 23% 49%

Carshalton Ath Draw Enfield Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Carshalton Ath 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWWLL

Enfield Town 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Carshalton Ath 1–1–4 Enfield Town (6 last)

Carshalton Ath1-1Enfield Town
Enfield Town0-3Carshalton Ath
Enfield Town4-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath1-3Enfield Town
Enfield Town2-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath2-4Enfield Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carshalton Ath 1483 · Enfield Town 1586

	Carshalton Ath	Draw	Enfield Town
Our model	28%	23%	49%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enfield Town (rating 1483 vs 1586).
H2H favours Enfield Town: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carshalton Ath	Enfield Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	2.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.75

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +26’	3.30	3.75	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carshalton Ath 1–1–4 Enfield Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-1	Enfield Town
23/09/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	0-3	Carshalton Ath
28/01/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	4-1	Carshalton Ath
12/11/22 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-3	Enfield Town
25/01/22 England Isthmian Premier Division	Enfield Town	2-1 HT 1-1	Carshalton Ath
14/08/21 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	2-4 HT 2-1	Enfield Town

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	10	8	0	2	28	12	24
2	Welling	11	8	0	3	20	10	24
3	Dartford	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
4	Lewes	11	7	1	3	17	12	22
5	Carshalton Ath	12	7	0	5	18	20	21
6	Ramsgate	11	6	1	4	27	15	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
9	Dulwich	9	5	1	3	18	12	16
10	Chatham Town	9	5	0	4	19	13	15
11	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
12	Burgess Hill Town	9	3	5	1	16	11	14
13	Cheshunt	11	3	5	3	11	14	14
14	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
15	Aveley	11	3	2	6	18	19	11
16	Wingate & Finchley	9	3	2	4	14	20	11
17	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
18	AFC Whyteleafe	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
19	Maldon Tiptree FC	12	3	0	9	15	33	9
20	Three Bridges	10	2	2	6	19	29	8
21	Whitehawk	11	1	2	8	11	26	5
22	Stanway Rovers	10	1	1	8	8	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carshalton Ath	Enfield Town
St Albans	0-1 L	1-2 L
Ramsgate	3-2 W	3-2 W
Dartford	0-3 L	0-2 L
Brentwood Town	2-0 W	3-1 W
Stanway Rovers	2-1 W	2-1 W
Cray Wanderers	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Enfield Town (1 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Carshalton Ath

WWWLLLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/10	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-4	0	3	L
03/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
31/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
22/08	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Enfield Town

LWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
06/10	Stanway Rovers England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
26/09	Hanwell Town England FA Trophy	–	4-2	–	–	W
15/09	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
12/09	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
29/08	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	3-1	5-1	1	3	W
22/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
11/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carshalton Ath vs Enfield Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Enfield Town win (49%). Probabilities: Carshalton Ath 27%, draw 23%, Enfield Town 49%.

How many goals are expected in Carshalton Ath vs Enfield Town?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Carshalton Ath 1.54 · Enfield Town 2.09), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carshalton Ath vs Enfield Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.