Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco

Team pages: FC Flora Tallinn II · Tartu JK Welco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

FC Flora Tallinn II1.93

Tartu JK Welco2.31

1X2

33% 21% 46%

FC Flora Tallinn II Draw Tartu JK Welco

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flora Tallinn II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDLWD

Tartu JK Welco 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Flora Tallinn II 0–3–3 Tartu JK Welco (6 last)

Tartu JK Welco2-1FC Flora Tallinn II
Tartu JK Welco3-3FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II1-6Tartu JK Welco
FC Flora Tallinn II1-1Tartu JK Welco
Tartu JK Welco0-0FC Flora Tallinn II
Tartu JK Welco4-2FC Flora Tallinn II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tartu JK Welco (rating 1490 vs 1601).
H2H favours Tartu JK Welco: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flora Tallinn II	Tartu JK Welco
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	2.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	1.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.79

Under 3.751.92

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.82 → 2.98▲	Pinn 2.98
X	4.34 → 4.42▲	Pinn 4.42
2	1.87 → 1.79▼	Pinn 1.79

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
07:22 +71’	2.82	4.34	1.87
10:08 +9’	2.79▼	4.33▼	1.89▲
12:39 +15’	2.82▲	4.00▼	1.94▲
16:01 +44’	2.98▲	4.42▲	1.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 0–3–3 Tartu JK Welco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Tartu JK Welco	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
17/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Tartu JK Welco	3-3 HT 2-2	FC Flora Tallinn II
14/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	1-6 HT 1-2	Tartu JK Welco
09/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	1-1 HT 0-1	Tartu JK Welco
14/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Tartu JK Welco	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
25/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Tartu JK Welco	4-2 HT 3-1	FC Flora Tallinn II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	35	24	5	6	99	44	77
2	Viimsi JK	34	18	6	10	62	33	60
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	34	16	7	11	77	58	55
4	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	34	17	3	14	67	59	54
5	FC Elva	34	15	8	11	50	51	53
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	34	12	7	15	59	63	43
7	JK Nomme United II	34	11	6	17	55	70	39
8	FC Tallinn	34	10	8	16	43	75	38
9	JK Nomme Kalju II	35	7	5	23	40	85	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flora Tallinn II	Tartu JK Welco
Viimsi JK	1-1 D	2-0 W
JK Nomme United II	3-2 W	4-3 W
FC Tallinn	1-2 L	7-0 W
JK Tallinna Kalev	2-2 D	3-2 W
FC Elva	1-2 L	4-0 W
JK Nomme Kalju II	5-1 W	3-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	2-6 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tartu JK Welco (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Flora Tallinn II

WDWLWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
22/10	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	3-2	8	8	W
10/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
18/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
13/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
10/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	5-1	9	5	W
04/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-6	2	5	L
29/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	11	3	W
24/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
21/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	2	9	W

Tartu JK Welco

WLDDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
18/10	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
15/10	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	4-0	7-0	5	6	W
09/10	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/09	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
10/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
23/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	4-2	14	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tartu JK Welco win (46%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 33%, draw 21%, Tartu JK Welco 46%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco?

The model expects 4.24 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 1.93 · Tartu JK Welco 2.31), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Tartu JK Welco?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.