Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme Kalju II
Team pages: JK Tallinna Kalev · JK Nomme Kalju II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
JK Tallinna Kalev2.31
JK Nomme Kalju II1.51
1X2
JK Tallinna Kalev
Draw
JK Nomme Kalju II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
JK Tallinna Kalev
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
JK Nomme Kalju II
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Tallinna Kalev
4–2
JK Nomme Kalju II
(6 last)
- JK Nomme Kalju II0-3JK Tallinna Kalev
- JK Tallinna Kalev5-1JK Nomme Kalju II
- JK Nomme Kalju II0-4JK Tallinna Kalev
- JK Tallinna Kalev2-0JK Nomme Kalju II
- JK Nomme Kalju II3-1JK Tallinna Kalev
- JK Tallinna Kalev2-3JK Nomme Kalju II
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tallinna Kalev (rating 1455 vs 1389).
- H2H favours JK Tallinna Kalev: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Tallinna Kalev | JK Nomme Kalju II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.7 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev 4–0–2 JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 21/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 5-1 HT 1-1 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 27/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-4 HT 0-3 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 29/01/17 Europe Friendlies | JK Tallinna Kalev | 2-0 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 02/10/16 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev |
| 13/08/16 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev | 2-3 HT 0-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 99 | 44 | 77 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 62 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 77 | 58 | 55 |
| 4 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 59 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Elva | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 51 | 53 |
| 6 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | 40 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United II | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 55 | 70 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 75 | 38 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 82 | 26 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Tallinna Kalev | JK Nomme Kalju II |
|---|---|---|
| Tartu JK Welco | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Flora Tallinn II | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| JK Nomme United II | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Elva | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Tallinna Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 18/09 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tallinna Kalev win (55%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev 55%, draw 21%, JK Nomme Kalju II 24%.
How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
The model expects 3.82 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev 2.31 · JK Nomme Kalju II 1.51), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme Kalju II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.