Football · South Korea K4 League · 03/10, 07:00

Prediction: Namyangju FC vs Gijang United

Team pages: Namyangju FC · Gijang United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Namyangju FC1.97

Gijang United1.2

1X2

54% 23% 22%

Namyangju FC Draw Gijang United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Namyangju FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Gijang United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLWW

Head-to-head

Namyangju FC 1–3 Gijang United (4 last)

Gijang United2-1Namyangju FC
Gijang United3-2Namyangju FC
Namyangju FC0-1Gijang United
Gijang United0-3Namyangju FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Namyangju FC 1551 · Gijang United 1482

	Namyangju FC	Draw	Gijang United
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Namyangju FC (rating 1551 vs 1482).
H2H favours Gijang United: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Namyangju FC	Gijang United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.3	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.77 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +10’	1.65	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +107’	1.77	3.50	3.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Namyangju FC 1–0–3 Gijang United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	2-1 HT 1-0	Namyangju FC
23/08/25 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	3-2 HT 0-2	Namyangju FC
29/06/25 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Gijang United
13/04/25 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	0-3 HT 0-2	Namyangju FC

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Namyangju FC	Gijang United
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Jinju Citizen FC	2-1 W	1-4 L
Seosan Pioneer	2-1 W	2-0 W
Seoul Jungnang FC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Jecheon Citizen	3-2 W	1-1 D
Jincheon HR	2-2 D	0-2 L
Geoje Citizen FC	1-0 W	2-4 L
Sejong SA	0-3 L	1-0 W
Geumsan Insam	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Namyangju FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Namyangju FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	2-2	6	1	D
06/09	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
29/08	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
25/07	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/07	Haman South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
28/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
07/06	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
16/05	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Gijang United

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	2-0	3-1	0	2	W
29/08	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	3-2	5	1	W
22/08	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/07	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
28/06	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
30/05	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	0-3	2-4	2	1	L
24/05	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-2	2-4	2	2	L
17/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Namyangju FC vs Gijang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Namyangju FC win (54%). Probabilities: Namyangju FC 54%, draw 23%, Gijang United 22%.

How many goals are expected in Namyangju FC vs Gijang United?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Namyangju FC 1.97 · Gijang United 1.2), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Namyangju FC vs Gijang United?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.