Football · Argentina Championship Women · 02/10, 22:00

Prediction: Racing Club (W) vs Belgrano (W)

Team pages: Racing Club (W) · Belgrano (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Racing Club (W)1.3

Belgrano (W)0.91

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Racing Club (W) Draw Belgrano (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Club (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWWLD

Belgrano (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWWLD

Head-to-head

Racing Club (W) 2–2–2 Belgrano (W) (6 last)

Belgrano (W)0-0Racing Club (W)
Belgrano (W)2-0Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)1-0Belgrano (W)
Racing Club (W)1-2Belgrano (W)
Belgrano (W)0-1Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)2-2Belgrano (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Club (W) 1508 · Belgrano (W) 1532

	Racing Club (W)	Draw	Belgrano (W)
Our model	44%	31%	25%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Club (W)	Belgrano (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:09 +3’	2.00	3.10	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +77’	1.92	3.07	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club (W) 2–2–2 Belgrano (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Racing Club (W)
15/12/25 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Racing Club (W)
11/12/25 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
12/05/25 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Belgrano (W)
03/11/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Racing Club (W)
14/06/24 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Belgrano (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	10	8	0	2	20	11	24
2	Boca Juniors (W)	10	7	1	2	16	8	22
3	Banfield (W)	10	6	3	1	17	8	21
4	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	9	5	3	1	14	6	18
5	Belgrano (W)	10	5	2	3	18	9	17
6	San Lorenzo (W)	9	4	4	1	14	7	16
7	Social Atletico Television (W)	10	4	4	2	10	7	16
8	Lanus (W)	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
9	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	9	4	1	4	16	16	13
10	River Plate (W)	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
11	Racing Club (W)	9	3	2	4	14	10	11
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	10	2	3	5	9	18	9
13	CA Independiente Women	10	3	0	7	12	24	9
14	Huracan (W)	10	2	1	7	8	16	7
15	Gimnasia LP (W)	10	1	1	8	4	18	4
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	10	0	1	9	4	23	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Club (W)	Belgrano (W)
Social Atletico Television (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
San Lorenzo (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	3-2 W	3-1 W
Boca Juniors (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
San Luis FC (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Club (W)

WLWDLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
18/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-0	4-0	3	7	W
04/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	4-1	2	4	W
31/08	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
24/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
14/08	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/08	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
03/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
22/07	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	–	2-0	–	–	W

Belgrano (W)

LWWDLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
19/09	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
11/09	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
05/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
30/08	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
22/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
16/08	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
10/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-0	6-0	4	4	W
02/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
26/07	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Club (W) vs Belgrano (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Racing Club (W) 45%, draw 30%, Belgrano (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club (W) vs Belgrano (W)?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Racing Club (W) 1.3 · Belgrano (W) 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club (W) vs Belgrano (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.